Sedgefield
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Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Steeple Chase
Starts in
17min
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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Our top pick for this race
Very strong chance
Odds 10/11
£1 wins 91p · 51 Very strong chance
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.91 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This is a Chase Turf race, and it suits this horse. Running in the right type of race matters.
- A 21% win rate on this ground from 19 runs. Just like people, horses have favourite surfaces. This one likes today's ground.
- Its average finish over the last three races is 2.7. That is too far back. Its results have not been steady lately.
TrackLab Insight
Only course winner in the field with 1 victory from 2 races at Sedgefield, and his most recent run here was a win just 50 days ago followed by a close 2nd 67 days ago. That proves he belongs here, but last time out he finished 5th at Hexham, beaten 19.2 lengths—a shock step backward that raises questions about his current condition. He shares the same 17% career win rate as Puddlesinthepark but the course form is significantly sharper.
Only course winner (1 from 2 here)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.25 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Today's race is over 3m 2½f. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
- This horse is suited to this Chase Turf race. A horse in its best type of race can just focus on running.
- A low win rate on this ground from 17 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
TrackLab Insight
The favourite at 11/8 carries genuine momentum: three straight top-3 finishes including wins at Kelso and Southwell in the last 30 days, and he runs here just 7 days after finishing 2nd at Newcastle. His 19% career win rate (roughly 1 in 5) is the best in the field and he has the strongest record on normal ground (4 wins from 17 races), which suits this race perfectly. The tight turnaround is aggressive but his recent hot streak justifies the shorter odds.
Best record on this ground (4 from 17)
3 straight top-3 finishes
Runs again after just 7 days
Best career win rate in field (1 in 5)
Underrated horse
We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Today's race is over 3m 2½f. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
- With 36 races behind it, this horse knows what to expect. Experienced runners tend to cope better with pressure.
- An 8.2% career win rate for Mrs C. Williams. That is below the top trainers.
TrackLab Insight
Top-rated by 6lbs and marked very underrated at 5/1, Puddlesinthepark has drifted sharply from 1/12 despite a solid career win rate of roughly 1 in 6 races. However, recent form is a concern: pulled up at Ffos Las 20 days ago and 6th at Cartmel 164 days ago, so the question is whether this eight-year-old can shake off that last-time-out blank. The unproven jockey-trainer partnership (0 wins from 6 races together) adds uncertainty.
Top rated by 6lbs
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A Chase Turf race works in this horse's favour. Horses often do best in one type of race and struggle in others.
- Today's race is over 3m 2½f. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
- G. Bewley has an 8.9% overall win rate, which is on the low side. That may mean the horse is not at its best.
TrackLab Insight
Lowest-rated runner by 13lbs and carries the lightest weight in the field, but his 10% win rate and pulled-up finish at Hexham 14 days ago mark him as the weakest link here. Limited recent winning form and three pull-ups or blanks in his last six races suggest he lacks the consistency needed to trouble this field at Sedgefield.
Lowest rated, 13lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.