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Sedgefield

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MW Civils And Groundworks Mares' Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)
Starts in
1h 27min
Jumps race · low hurdles Very underrated horse: Roxy Russet About 2.5 miles Good ground Standard race 5 runners £5,446 prize money E/W: also pays on 2nd, at 1/4 odds
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score

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5 Roxy Russet Very underrated horse
B. Hughes · C. Longsdon · 4yo · 11st 3lb
£1 wins £1.38 · 48 Very strong chance
5 runners today is a good number for this horse
Form
48
Our top pick for this race
Very strong chance
Odds 11/8
£1 wins £1.38 · 48 Very strong chance
Underrated horse

We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £2.38 back.

How odds work
✓ Field size ✓ Horse record on this going ✓ Jockey starts at this course
Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • 5 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
  • Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
  • Facing tougher rivals than last time. It is like moving up to a harder league. The step up is a challenge.
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite at 11/8, she's finished second twice from five races, most recently just 2.8 lengths adrift at Fontwell 19 days ago. Despite showing she can run competitive races, she remains winless from five attempts, so the price reflects hope rather than a proven breakthrough.
Market favourite (11/8)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.00 back.

How odds work
Back after 245 days off Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • 5 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
  • Has yet to win over this distance. It is like asking a sprinter to run a marathon. Distance matters, and this horse has not shown it can win here.
  • Has been off the track for 245 days. That is a long break. Some horses come back fresh. Others need a run to get fit again.
TrackLab Insight
Returns after 245 days on the sidelines—the longest absence in the field—with no wins from 6 career races and just one top-3 finish to her name. Her form data from wet or muddy ground doesn't transfer here since she's never raced on normal conditions, making this an extra layer of uncertainty after such a lengthy absence.
Never raced on normal ground Absent 245 days (longest in field)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.33 back.

How odds work
First run (debut)
Why this score
  • This is a 5-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
  • J. Snowden has won 16.2% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
  • It is not clear this Hurdle Turf race suits this horse's strengths.
TrackLab Insight
Making her racecourse debut at five years old is highly unusual and raises questions about her readiness. By Shantaram out of a Presenting mare, her pedigree suggests a straightforward type rather than a standout talent, and with zero prior form to assess, she's a genuine unknown in a field where most rivals have multiple races under their belt.
Racecourse debut
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £17.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Won 0 of last 5 Has won on this ground
Why this score
  • 5 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
  • B. Ellison wins 18.6% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
  • Stepping up to a harder race today. As with any step up, the question is whether the horse is good enough for this level.
TrackLab Insight
Top-rated by the handicap mark and boasts the best win rate in this field at roughly 1 in 10, with 2 wins from 19 races. On normal ground specifically, she's won 1 from 6 starts (17%), making this surface a genuine strength, though her last win came 18 months ago and recent form shows three finishes in the lower placings.
Top rated by 4lbs Best record on this ground (1 from 6) Best career win rate in field (1 in 10)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £29.00 back.

How odds work
Back quickly after its last run Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • A 5-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
  • A low win rate on this ground from 11 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
  • A 2.4% career win rate for B. Murphy. That is below the top trainers.
TrackLab Insight
Races again just five days after running at Stratford, where she finished 9th—a punishing turnaround that rarely brings improvement. With 0 wins from 19 races and never having won at Sedgefield in five attempts, the quick turnaround and course record both work against her here.
Runs again after just 5 days
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shot Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.

What these words mean

Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
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