Won 2 of last 5Raced here beforeLoves this ground (25% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
Wins 43% of its races at today's distance of 1m4f, which is comfortably the best win rate in the field over this trip. However, its odds have drifted sharply from 3.75 out to 8.5 — a sign the market is cooling on it — and that last run at Newmarket was a heavy 13-length defeat just 14 days ago. The ground form also raises a flag: no wins from three attempts on dry, fast conditions, which is close to what's on offer today.
Wearing tongue strapQuick turnaroundWon 0 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
Finished second by less than half a length at Hamilton just seven days ago, so arrives here bang in form and race-fit. It ran in a Class 2 at Goodwood earlier this season, which tells you this horse has shown it can operate at a higher level than today's Class 3 contest. The concern is a poor record on left-handed tracks — Ripon runs left-handed — with no wins from five attempts on that configuration.
Runs again after just 7 days
Trainer Quotes
May 2026
"He ran okay first time out for us at Ripon when he probably needed it, and then we ran him at York in cheekpieces when he pulled a little bit and faded. It might not have been the right thing to do, so we'll leave the headgear off and let him find his own way round in a race. I'm sure he'll come good at some point. 27-05-26"
The best record in the field on today's ground conditions, winning 2 from 5 races on normal turf — no other runner here comes close to that figure. It arrives in excellent shape too, with three finishes inside the top two on the bounce, including a win at Goodwood just 43 days ago. Today's 1m4f trip also plays to its strengths, with a 31% win rate at this distance range.
Best record on this ground (2 from 5)3 straight top-3 finishes
Wearing cheekpiecesQuick turnaroundWon 0 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Its odds have tumbled from 11.0 to 7.5, suggesting someone is keen, but the recent form makes that confidence hard to understand — it finished 20th at York just seven days ago, beaten nearly 24 lengths. It also has no wins from seven attempts on normal ground, which is the surface it faces today. Coming back in just a week from such a heavy defeat is a bold call.
Runs again after just 7 days
Trainer Quotes
Sep 2023
"I had him in a Listed race at Haydock last Saturday but I didn't run him and I'm now looking at the Champagne and the Royal Lodge - he's probably going to go up to a mile next time. He wasn't that expensive, but he's a big horse and he's shown up well since the spring. We rather expected him to do what he did first time out at Chepstow and then he won easily at Ffos Las. He's only going to improve as he still has plenty of learning to do and I think he's going to be a better horse next year, when he'll probably want a mile and a quarter. I've raced him in relatively Mickey Mouse races so it's hard to get a guide as to how good he is, but I hope he'll do well for the winter. He'll be a stakes horse. 12-09-23"
The market has made this the favourite at 5.0 despite it being the lowest-rated horse in the field by seven pounds and having never won a race in four attempts. It does carry the lightest weight, which helps in a race like this, and its last two finishes of second suggest it is improving race by race. The big unknown is that it has never raced on normal ground before, so today is a genuine step into the unknown for a young horse still learning its trade.
Lowest rated, 7lbs below averageCarries lowest weight in fieldNever raced on normal groundMarket favourite (5.0)
Won 2 of last 5Won here 4 timesHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
The only horse in this field to have won at Ripon, and the record here is remarkable — 4 wins from just 8 races at this track, a 50% hit rate that no rival comes close to matching. It won here just 51 days ago, which is the most recent Ripon win in the field. The concern is that its last two runs away from Ripon were poor, so the course form needs to do the heavy lifting today.
Wearing visorWon 0 of last 5Has won on this groundWon at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
Our top pick on the ratings, but the market hasn't fully bought in — it sits out at 9.5 despite being the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin. With 58 career races, it is by far the most experienced runner here (the field averages 28 races), and it has been freshening up nicely with a second place at Carlisle recently. The awkward detail is that it has never won on normal ground in 13 attempts, which is precisely the conditions on offer today.
Most experienced (58 runs, field avg 28)Unfancied in the market despite a high rating
Fresh (171 days off)Won 1 of last 5Won at this distance 10 times
TrackLab Insight
The best career win rate in the field — wins roughly 1 in every 4 races — but comes here after a 171-day absence, the longest break of any runner today. It also has the best record at this trip, winning 10 of its 26 races over a similar distance, which is a genuinely eye-catching stat. The question mark is pure fitness: can a horse return from nearly six months off and produce its best straight away?
Best record at this trip (10 from 26)Absent 171 days (longest in field)Best career win rate in field (1 in 4)
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.