Star Harbour

The first win came at Chepstow in August 2023, and the most recent — and so far last — came at Punchestown in September 2024. That was 22 months ago now, and Star Harbour hasn't won in its last six races since. The recent form reads 5-2-4-–-5-–, so there are signs of life in there, but the wins have dried up. At eight, horses don't tend to suddenly rediscover a sharp upward curve, though they can find their spots.

The partnership with jockey Adam Caffrey is the most productive this horse has had — 3 wins from 22 races together, or roughly 1 in every 7 rides. That's notably better than the overall career average and suggests Caffrey has a good read of how Star Harbour wants to be ridden. The trainer is Adrian McGuinness, based at Lusk in County Dublin, and the yard is clearly in decent health this season with 45 winners sent out. A stable in that kind of form is always worth attention, even with a horse whose own wins have become harder to find.

The distance range where Star Harbour has shown the most is a mile and one furlong to a mile and two — it has won 2 from 12 races at those trips, a win rate of 17%, or roughly 1 in every 6 races. That might not sound spectacular, but in the context of this horse's overall figures it's clearly the sweet spot. One area where it hasn't managed to convert is at the top level of racing, going 0 wins from 4 attempts in Class 2 company — the second-highest tier in Britain. That gap between competing at that level and winning there is not unusual, but it's worth noting. Star Harbour raced just one day ago, so whatever comes next isn't far away.