The top-rated horse in this field by 3lbs and officially the market favourite, though punters have clearly had second thoughts — the odds drifted dramatically from 1.1 to 3.0. Eight races in and still looking for a first win, though it has finished in the top three four times, including a close second at Thirsk six weeks ago. Drawn in stall 2, which is a solid low draw at Ripon where the stats favour horses on that side of the track.
The most experienced horse in the field with 10 races under its belt, and it has placed in seven of them — a remarkably consistent record for a horse yet to win. Crucially, it finished second at this exact course back in May, beaten less than a length, making it the only proven course performer in the field. That Ripon experience could matter, though finishing sixth at Redcar last time out is a concern.
Two races, two placed finishes — Black Orchid has never come home without a share of the prize money, which is a tidy record even if the wins haven't come yet. One of those seconds came right here at Ripon, so it already knows this track, giving it a course edge it shares only with Valor Spirit. Joint-favourite at 3.0, it carries less weight than its rivals, which is a small physical advantage in a race like this.
Occupies the prime stall 1 draw at Ripon, where low-drawn horses have a clear advantage over this distance — a small but real edge in a tight field. However, the form heading into this race is poor: fifth, fourth and eighth in its last three outings, beaten nearly 10 lengths most recently at Ayr. Like Master Of Delphi, it has never raced on normal ground, so today's conditions are uncharted territory.
The least experienced horse in the field by a distance — just one race to its name, a fifth-place finish beaten 12 lengths at Doncaster. It has never raced on normal ground before, so today is a step into the unknown on two fronts. With virtually no data to go on, this one is almost impossible to assess with any confidence.
Never raced on normal groundLightly raced (1 career races)
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.