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Per Contra

Per Contra is still finding his way in racing at five years old, though recent form suggests he has finally started to settle into the life of a racehorse. A win rate of roughly 1 in 7 races (5 wins from 33) is respectable rather than exceptional, but the pattern of those wins tells a story worth watching. He won on his debut at Chepstow back in July 2023, then seemed to struggle until this year, when he has picked up two wins on normal ground conditions — one at Redcar just five weeks ago. That's the kind of form that catches a trainer's eye, especially for a horse who still looks green.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Footstepsinthesand
Mother
Nonetheless
Owner
Ryedale Partners No 3
Official rating
82

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
33
Career races
5
Wins
15.2%
Win rate
avg ~10%
42.4%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
8 days
Since last race

🏁 Next race

Tomorrow
Pontefract
About 1.2 miles · Slightly soft ground · 10 runners

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

Tim Easterby, his trainer at Great Habton in North Yorkshire, clearly sees something in him. The yard is one of the most productive operations in the country and has sent 128 winners out this season alone, so when Easterby talks about a horse having room to improve, it is worth taking seriously. Per Contra was never bought as a flashy prospect, but Easterby notes he is a big, developing horse who seems to be hitting his stride now after spring. The trainer recently decided against running him in a Listed race at Haydock — an unusually competitive spot — and is instead plotting bigger plans, looking at genuinely high-class races like the Champagne and Royal Lodge as stepping stones while also raising his distance to a mile. That kind of long-term thinking speaks to patience and genuine belief.

What makes Per Contra interesting right now is not his record so far — it is the direction of travel. Recent form reads 8-3-1-3-8-4 over his last six races, with that win at Redcar coming partway through. He still has much to learn and may well prove better suited to certain conditions or distances than others. David Allan has ridden him ten times without a win, which suggests the combination has not quite clicked. But a five-year-old who is finally winning races, trained by one of Britain's shrewdest operators and being aimed deliberately at top company, is worth keeping an eye on. The raw materials are there; now it is about whether Easterby can polish them into something special.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on soft ground: 1 wins from 4 starts (25%)
✔ Excellent record on standard ground: 2 wins from 4 starts (50%)
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
⚠ Yet to win at York in 9 attempts
⚠ Struggles on RH Sharp tracks: 0 wins from 5 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Soft (muddy)
Loves
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Good (a little give)
Ok
Good to soft (some give)
Ok
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
7F – 1M
Unknown
1M3F – 1M4F
Ok
1M6F – 2M
Ok
1M1F – 1M2F
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 1 (elite)
Unknown
Class 2 (high-level)
Avoids
Class 3 (mid-level)
Ok
Class 4 (standard)
Loves
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids
Right-handed, hilly
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
10 Oct
8th
York
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Soft · 20 runners
24 Sep
3rd
Pontefract
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 10 runners
9 Sep
🏆 Won
Redcar
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 11 runners
30 Aug
3rd
Beverley
1m1f – 1m2f · Heavy · 13 runners
6 Aug
8th
Southwell
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 13 runners
18 Jul
4th
Ripon
1m6f – 2m · Good · 8 runners
11 Jul
20th
York
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 22 runners
25 Jun
8th
Newcastle
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard_To_Slow · 12 runners
12 Jun
4th
York
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 16 runners
30 May
3rd
Carlisle
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 13 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
David Allan Current jockey
0%
Win rate
0/10
Wins / rides
20%
Win rate
1/5
Wins / rides
25%
Win rate
1/4
Wins / rides
100%
Win rate
2/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
York
Galloping
9 1 second, 1 third, 7 other 10 Oct 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
3 1 win, 1 third, 1 other 25 Jun 33.3%
Redcar
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 9 Sep 50%
Chepstow
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 7 Aug 50%
Carlisle
Undulating
2 1 third, 1 other 30 May 0%
Hamilton Park
Sharp
2 1 third, 1 other 15 Jun 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
2 2 other 29 Mar 0%
Ripon
Sharp
2 1 second, 1 other 18 Jul 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
1 1 win 8 Apr 100%
Ffos Las
Galloping
1 1 win 16 Aug 100%
Nottingham
Galloping
1 1 other 16 Oct 0%
Musselburgh
Sharp
1 1 other 12 Apr 0%
Beverley
Undulating
1 1 third 30 Aug 0%
Pontefract
Undulating
1 1 third 24 Sep 0%
Southwell
Galloping
1 1 other 6 Aug 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
1 1 other 14 Oct 0%
Chester
Tight
1 1 third 31 May 0%