The market favourite at 3.75, and it is easy to see why — she has been placed in three of five races, including a close second at Newmarket just 19 days ago against strong competition. Still winless, but her form is the most consistent in the field and she is clearly knocking on the door.
Second in the market at 5.0, but her most recent run was a sixth-place finish here at Nottingham 38 days ago, which is a concern given she is returning to the same track. She showed a second-place finish earlier in her career, but that form has yet to resurface consistently and punters are being asked to take a fair amount on trust.
The editorial tips this horse as a danger, and there's a solid reason why: she finished second right here at Nottingham over this course and distance just 25 days ago, making her the most course-relevant contender in the field. Still winless from four races, but that near-miss last time out on the same track suggests she is well placed to go one better.
Six races, zero wins, zero places — Glasgow Kiss is the lowest rated horse in the field alongside Katalyst and the form book offers nothing to suggest a turnaround is imminent, with a seventh here at Nottingham last time and an eighth at Bath before that. Wearing a visor today is a new addition, which trainers sometimes try to sharpen a horse's focus, but the task looks steep.
Katalyst carries the lowest weight in the field, which in a race like this is an advantage in theory — lighter loads make it easier to keep up. Eight races without a single placing is a tough record to look past though, and while she does run consistently in the fourth-to-sixth range, she has never shown the turn of pace needed to challenge at the finish.
Lowest rated, 4lbs below averageCarries lowest weight in field
One of the least experienced horses in the race with just three outings under her belt, and no wins yet — but she has placed twice and that second place at Epsom shows she can compete. Her last run at Bath was a poor one, beaten 16 lengths, so she needs to bounce back sharply here.
The editorial pick, and the angle here is straightforward: Jamie Sommers has the best win rate of any horse in this field, and crucially she wins roughly one in four races on normal ground conditions — which is exactly what she faces today. Her last run was a poor eleventh here at Nottingham, but before that she was third and fourth in decent races, and the drop to the lowest weight she has carried could help.
Dropping in classWearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
Three races, three sixth-place finishes, and now she steps up three class levels — this is the toughest task she has faced yet, and the form book offers no reason to think the result will improve. Wearing cheekpieces for the first time might help focus her mind, but the record is as thin as it gets.
The key question mark for Mimi's Magic is a straightforward one: she has never raced on normal ground conditions, having done all her racing on artificial all-weather tracks. She has placed in three of five races on those surfaces, so the form is there — but today's turf on a standard surface is genuinely unknown territory for her.
A big outsider at 19.0 with no wins from five races and a recent sixth at Kempton that gives little encouragement. The notable gap in her form — she had a long break between races earlier in her career — and a record that never quite gets her into the mix makes it hard to build a case here.
The most interesting puzzle in the field: Bami carries the highest rating here yet drifted dramatically in the market and has been absent for 175 days — longer than any other runner. She has won one race from four and showed enough quality to finish fourth at a higher level on her last outing, but six months off the track is a significant question mark that the market clearly isn't ignoring.
Absent 175 days (longest in field)Unfancied in the market despite a high rating
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.