Nottingham

The race favourite and the selection to win, this horse was bought for a staggering 900,000 guineas — making her one of the most expensive horses in the field by a distance, and that price tag alone signals serious expectations. Oisin Murphy, one of the top jockeys in Britain, rides for Simon and Ed Crisford, and the pair win roughly 2 in 5 races together which is an exceptional win rate. There's no race form to back any of this up yet, but the money, the jockey, and the trainer all point the same direction.

A debut runner from Archie Watson's yard, which is one of the busier operations in training, and she's a solid third in the market at around 6.8. Bred by Havana Grey — the same sire as Dreams Galore in this race — so she's built for speed over this short five-furlong trip. No race experience means we're backing potential rather than proof, but the yard knows how to get young horses running.

One of only three horses here who has actually raced before, Fast Track finished third on debut at Goodwood just 12 days ago — beaten three and a half lengths, which is respectable experience to bring into this field. Trained by Andrew Balding, whose jockey Rob Hornby wins roughly 1 in 11 races they ride together, giving this pairing solid foundations. She won't be coming here blind, and that debut placing makes her one of the few runners we can actually assess.

The form benchmark in this race according to the pre-race analysis, and it's easy to see why — she's one of just two horses here who has finished in the top three from a previous run, having gone second on debut. That runner-up finish gives her a clear edge over most of this field on actual evidence, and at 17/1 she offers genuine interest. The only question is whether the unraced Senorita Bonita, bought for 900,000 guineas, has the raw talent to leapfrog her.