Newmarket (July)
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Kentford Handicap Stakes
Starts in
Awaiting result
Turf track
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
TrackLab Insight
The standout runner here on paper — the only horse in this field who has won at this exact course and distance, with 2 wins from 5 races at Newmarket's July course. He's also the most experienced runner today with 38 races under his belt, and his best ground record (5 wins from 15 races on fast, dry ground) suits conditions well. The concern is his recent run of three poor finishes, and his odds drifting heavily from where they opened suggests the market has noticed.
Only course winner (2 from 5 here)
Has won over this course and distance
Best record at this trip (7 from 24)
Most experienced (38 runs, field avg 20)
Super Value
TrackLab Insight
Below the field average on the ratings and his last two runs have both been fifth-place finishes, so there's no obvious momentum to build on. Like Rogue Bullet, he has a blank record at left-handed, galloping tracks — zero wins from five races — which is a real red flag at Newmarket. His ground record on fast conditions is decent but that alone won't bridge the gap to the better-rated horses in this field.
Mid-range in the market (10.0)
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
Draws stall 8, which is the worst position in a field where the data strongly favours low draws — horses in stalls 1-10 win at nearly three times the rate of those in high draws here. He's also recorded zero wins from six races at left-handed, galloping tracks, and Newmarket fits that profile exactly. Good recent form at Brighton counts for less here given how different this track is.
One of the more successful in the field (3 career wins)
TrackLab Insight
Second-highest rated horse in the field and ran a solid second here at Newmarket just 27 days ago, so course form is fresh and relevant. The problem is that his record on fast, dry ground is a blank — zero wins from four attempts — which matters a lot at this time of year. He's a horse with decent place form but one that the market isn't convinced by, and the ground may genuinely be working against him.
2nd highest rated (OR 83)
TrackLab Insight
The best career win rate in the field at roughly 1 in every 4 races, and he arrives off the back of a win at Nottingham 82 days ago. His record on good ground is extraordinary — 4 wins from just 5 races — but his 82-day absence and the fact that his jockey has never won together in five tries are both worth noting. If the ground plays to his strengths, he could be the value pick.
Best career win rate in field (1 in 4)
TrackLab Insight
The lowest-rated horse in the field, rated 7lbs below the average, and still searching for a first career win from 13 races. Recent form shows a run of 6th, 8th, and 9th, which points in the wrong direction entirely. The one small positive is the low draw in stall 1, which is statistically the best position at this course and distance — but that alone is unlikely to overcome the gap in class and form.
Lowest rated, 7lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
TrackLab Insight
Three career wins is respectable, but all of his success has come on a surface described as standard — he has never won on fast, dry ground across four attempts, which is likely what he faces today. His last two runs at Yarmouth were well beaten, and he's drawn in stall 7, where the statistical advantage at this course is much weaker than low draws. Interesting profile, wrong conditions.
One of the more successful in the field (3 career wins)
TrackLab Insight
Among the longer prices in the field at 34-to-1, and for good reason — he has zero wins from five races on fast, dry ground and zero wins from seven on good ground, covering almost every scenario likely to apply here today. His last run was an 11th-place finish beaten nearly 31 lengths, and he's rated 6lbs below the field average. Hard to make a case for him in these conditions.
Among the more experienced (24 career races)
Your pick
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What you'd get back
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Odds
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Bet type
Win (they finish 1st)
How much do you want to bet?
Your bet
£5
Your profit if they win
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Total back in your pocket
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How do odds work?
The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.
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