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Tuscan Point

There is a horse doing something quietly impressive right now — and it does not involve winning most of its races. Tuscan Point, a four-year-old trained by Adam Kirby out of his yard in Kirtling, Newmarket, has only won 2 of its 22 career races — that is roughly 1 in every 11 — but the raw numbers undersell what has been happening lately. Seven places from those 22 races tells you this is a horse that keeps showing up, keeps finishing close, and has been building towards something.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
4 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Blue Point
Mother
Tuscan Oasis
Trainer
Owner
Adam Kirby
Rating
73

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
22
Career races
2
Wins
9.1%
Win rate
avg ~10%
31.8%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

That something arrived at Southwell in March 2026, a first career win after a long wait. Then, just six weeks later, Tuscan Point went back out and won again at Lingfield Park at the end of April — and has raced as recently as yesterday. That recent form reads 4-2-1-2-5-2, which in plain terms means Tuscan Point has finished outside the top three only once in its last six outings. That is the kind of consistency that gets people interested.

The ground matters here. On normal conditions, Tuscan Point has won 2 of just 5 races — a 40% win rate, which is a genuinely striking number at any level of the sport. Most horses in training never win 4 in every 10 races on any surface, under any conditions. It also does its best work over the shorter distances, between five and six-and-a-half furlongs, where it has won both its races from 12 attempts — around 1 in every 6 at that trip. Short, sharp, fast-ground racing suits this horse.

What is slightly puzzling is the record with jockey Oisin Orr — 0 wins from 6 races together, even during a period when Tuscan Point has clearly been in form. That is not necessarily damning; horses and jockeys can simply be mismatched in style, and Orr has still been steering the horse into plenty of placed finishes. Adam Kirby's yard has sent out 6 winners already this season, so there is no shortage of confidence in the operation.

Tuscan Point is not a star. It competes mostly at Class 4 level, which is solid, mid-tier racing rather than the showpiece events. But a horse that wins 2 in every 5 races on its favoured ground, has hit form at exactly the right time of year, and raced just yesterday? That is a horse worth watching.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on standard ground: 2 wins from 5 starts (40%)
Well suited by 5f – 6½f distances: 17% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 7 starts
Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Yet to win at York in 7 attempts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Firm (dry)
Unknown
Good (firm-ish)
Avoids
Good to firm (drying out)
Avoids
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
5F – 6½F
Loves
Sprint (< 5F)
Unknown
7F – 1M
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Avoids
Class 5 (entry-level)
Avoids
Class 6 (grassroots)
Avoids
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, tight turns
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
26 May
4th
Bath
5f – 6½f · Firm · 5 runners
9 May
2nd
Lingfield Park
Sprint (< 5f) · Good_To_Firm · 9 runners
30 Apr
🏆 Won
Lingfield Park
5f – 6½f · Standard · 5 runners
22 Apr
2nd
Catterick Bridge
5f – 6½f · Good · 10 runners
5 Apr
5th
Southwell
5f – 6½f · Standard · 9 runners
21 Mar
2nd
Southwell
5f – 6½f · Standard · 7 runners
11 Mar
🏆 Won
Southwell
5f – 6½f · Standard · 11 runners
13 Oct
3rd
Musselburgh
7f – 1m · Good · 9 runners
2 Oct
6th
Newcastle
7f – 1m · Standard · 7 runners
15 Sep
5th
Thirsk
5f – 6½f · Soft · 13 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
0%
Win rate
0/6
Won / Rode
25%
Win rate
1/4
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
York
Galloping
7 7 other 26 Jul 0%
Southwell
Galloping
3 1 win, 1 second, 1 other 5 Apr 33.3%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
2 1 win, 1 second 9 May 50%
Musselburgh
Sharp
2 1 third, 1 other 13 Oct 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 other 28 Jun 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
1 1 other 2 Oct 0%
Catterick Bridge
Sharp
1 1 second 22 Apr 0%
Ayr
Galloping
1 1 other 11 Aug 0%
Bath
Undulating
1 1 other 26 May 0%
Thirsk
Galloping
1 1 other 15 Sep 0%
Ripon
Sharp
1 1 other 27 Apr 0%
Chester
Tight
1 1 second 4 Aug 0%