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Tuscan Point

There is a horse that keeps finding ways to make things interesting without quite making them simple. Tuscan Point is a 4-year-old with 2 wins from 25 races — that is a win rate of roughly 1 in every 12 or 13 outings — which on paper looks modest. But strip back those numbers and a clearer picture starts to form.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
4 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Blue Point
Mother
Tuscan Oasis
Trainer
Owner
Adam Kirby
Rating
70

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
25
Career races
2
Wins
8%
Win rate
avg ~10%
28.0%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

On normal ground, Tuscan Point is a different animal entirely. Two wins from 6 races on a standard surface works out at 33%, meaning it wins roughly 1 in every 3 times conditions are in its favour. That is a striking number for a horse whose overall record looks unremarkable, and it tells you that when the ground suits, this one is well worth watching. Its preferred trips sit between five and six-and-a-half furlongs — the sharp, sprint-style distances where races are decided in seconds and there is no hiding place. Across 15 races at those distances, it has won 2, which is around 1 in every 7 or 8 attempts.

The two wins tell a story of a horse finding its feet across the spring. The first came at Southwell in March 2026, and the second followed at Lingfield Park at the end of April — two different tracks, both in the same few weeks, suggesting a horse that had clicked into form rather than stumbled onto a fluke. Recent form reads 4-11-7-4-2-1 going back from today, which means after that Lingfield win the results tailed off, though a second-place finish is tucked in there too. Raced just yesterday, Tuscan Point is clearly still in active training and being kept busy by Adam Kirby's yard in Kirtling, just outside Newmarket. The team has sent out 6 winners this season.

What is slightly curious is the partnership with jockey Oisin Orr, who has ridden Tuscan Point 6 times without a win between them. That is not necessarily damning — horses and jockeys take time to click — but it is the kind of detail that nags. The wins have clearly come with other riders. Tuscan Point is a horse that does not demand patience so much as precision: get the ground right, get the distance right, and it has shown it can be competitive. On the wrong day, it disappears into the middle of the field. On the right one, it lands the prize.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on standard ground: 2 wins from 6 starts (33%)
Well suited by 5f – 6½f distances: 13% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 7 starts
Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 6 starts
Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Yet to win at York in 7 attempts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Firm (dry)
Unknown
Good (firm-ish)
Avoids
Good to firm (drying out)
Avoids
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
5F – 6½F
Loves
Sprint (< 5F)
Unknown
7F – 1M
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Avoids
Class 5 (entry-level)
Avoids
Class 6 (grassroots)
Avoids
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, tight turns
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
17 Jul
4th
Newmarket
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 8 runners
6 Jul
11th
Wolverhampton
5f – 6½f · Standard · 13 runners
20 Jun
7th
Newmarket
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 7 runners
26 May
4th
Bath
5f – 6½f · Firm · 5 runners
9 May
2nd
Lingfield Park
Sprint (< 5f) · Good_To_Firm · 9 runners
30 Apr
🏆 Won
Lingfield Park
5f – 6½f · Standard · 5 runners
22 Apr
2nd
Catterick Bridge
5f – 6½f · Good · 10 runners
5 Apr
5th
Southwell
5f – 6½f · Standard · 9 runners
21 Mar
2nd
Southwell
5f – 6½f · Standard · 7 runners
11 Mar
🏆 Won
Southwell
5f – 6½f · Standard · 11 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
0%
Win rate
0/6
Won / Rode
25%
Win rate
1/4
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
York
Galloping
7 7 other 26 Jul 0%
Southwell
Galloping
3 1 win, 1 second, 1 other 5 Apr 33.3%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
2 1 win, 1 second 9 May 50%
Musselburgh
Sharp
2 1 third, 1 other 13 Oct 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
2 2 other 17 Jul 0%
Thirsk
Galloping
1 1 other 15 Sep 0%
Ayr
Galloping
1 1 other 11 Aug 0%
Catterick Bridge
Sharp
1 1 second 22 Apr 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 other 28 Jun 0%
Ripon
Sharp
1 1 other 27 Apr 0%
Bath
Undulating
1 1 other 26 May 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
1 1 other 2 Oct 0%
Chester
Tight
1 1 second 4 Aug 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
1 1 other 6 Jul 0%