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Rogue Bullet

Rogue Bullet is a 4-year-old with a modest record of three wins from 24 races — roughly one win in every eight outings — but there is something intriguing about where and when this horse wins. On fast, dry ground, it becomes a different animal, winning 3 of 11 races (27 percent), a rate triple its overall average. This is not a fluke. Every win has come when the surface favored speed: the first at Brighton in April 2025, and most recently at the same track in June 2026, just four months ago. For a horse that has struggled since that June victory — it has not won in its last six races — understanding its ground preferences becomes crucial. Any race coming up on firm or fast conditions, particularly at a track it knows, is worth watching.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
4 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Mehmas
Mother
Hope And Faith
Trainer
Owner
The Rogues Gallery
Official rating
72

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
24
Career races
3
Wins
12.5%
Win rate
avg ~10%
33.3%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
8 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

Trained by James Owen at Newmarket, Rogue Bullet competes mainly at Class 5 level, where it has won 2 of 12 races (17 percent). That is solid but not dominant form, and the recent run of four months without a win suggests the horse may be in a minor dip or facing tougher opposition. Its last six runs tell the story: a fifth, then a sixth, then an eighth before a brief revival with a second and a third. The fourth-place finish came just a day ago, so this is an active horse still racing regularly. For punters and followers, the playbook is straightforward: wait for the dry ground, back the horse at the right track in the right conditions, and ignore it when the surface turns soft or muddy.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good_to_firm ground: 3 wins from 11 starts (27%)
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
⚠ Poor record on standard ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
⚠ Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 9 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Loves
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Firm (dry)
Unknown
Good (a little give)
Avoids
Standard (all-weather)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
5F – 6½F
Sprint (< 5F)
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Avoids
Class 5 (entry-level)
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, tight turns
Loves
Left-handed, hilly
Loves
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids
Left-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
10 Oct
5th
Southwell
Sprint (< 5f) · Standard · 9 runners
22 Sep
6th
Southwell
Sprint (< 5f) · Standard · 7 runners
28 Aug
8th
Goodwood
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 9 runners
6 Aug
2nd
Chepstow
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 7 runners
17 Jul
3rd
Newmarket
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 8 runners
27 Jun
4th
Lingfield Park
Sprint (< 5f) · Good_To_Firm · 5 runners
21 Jun
🏆 Won
Brighton
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 6 runners
29 Apr
5th
Bath
5f – 6½f · Firm · 6 runners
24 Oct
6th
Southwell
Sprint (< 5f) · Standard · 9 runners
2 Aug
10th
Thirsk
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 14 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
25%
Win rate
1/4
Wins / rides
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Southwell
Galloping
3 3 other 10 Oct 0%
Brighton
Undulating
2 2 wins 21 Jun 100%
Newmarket
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 17 Jul 0%
Leicester
Sharp
2 1 second, 1 third 14 Jun 0%
Great Yarmouth
Galloping
2 2 other 14 May 0%
Bath
Undulating
2 2 other 29 Apr 0%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
2 2 other 27 Jun 0%
Windsor
Sharp
1 1 win 30 Jun 100%
Catterick Bridge
Sharp
1 1 other 2 Oct 0%
Kempton Park
Galloping
1 1 second 23 Oct 0%
Ripon
Sharp
1 1 other 26 Apr 0%
Chepstow
Galloping
1 1 second 6 Aug 0%
Goodwood
Undulating
1 1 other 28 Aug 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
1 1 other 16 Nov 0%
Nottingham
Galloping
1 1 other 6 Jul 0%
Thirsk
Galloping
1 1 other 2 Aug 0%