Newcastle
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Breeders' Cup On Sky Sports Racing Open Maiden National Hunt Flat Race (Category 3 Elimination) (GBB Race)
Starts in
3h 50min
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 2/1
£1 wins £2 · 28 Strong chance
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- N. Richards wins 17.4% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- This is a 9-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
- N. Richards wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite stepping onto the racecourse for the first time, carrying strong stamina bloodlines through Ghaiyyath and Champs Elysees. The Richards & McMenamin pairing is prolific (78 wins from 420 races), but no debut form exists yet to back up the market confidence.
Racecourse debut
Market favourite (15/8)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has not raced for 220 days. That is a long time away, and we cannot be sure the horse will be fit enough.
- D. Cantillon wins 18% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- D. Cantillon wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
A 4-year-old with one run behind him and no top-3 finishes to show for it — finished seventh at Newbury 220 days ago. This is his first time teaming with jockey Jack Quinlan, and there is no evidence he has raced on normal ground before.
Never raced on normal ground
Lightly raced (1 career races)
£1 wins £3.33 · 25 Strong chance
J. Snowden has won 16.2% of their races in their career
25
Underrated horse
We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.33 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- J. Snowden has won 16.2% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- A 23.5% win rate at this course for J. Snowden. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
- A 17.0% career win rate for G. Sheehan. That is on the low side and could matter today.
TrackLab Insight
A 4-year-old who ran just 22 days ago and finished third by only 2.8 lengths — the tightest margin to victory in the field — suggesting genuine promise on limited evidence. Trained by Jamie Snowden's high-performing Lambourn yard (82 winners this season), Mon Missel has never raced on normal ground before, which makes this ground change worth watching.
Never raced on normal ground
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £10.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- B. Hughes wins 15.1% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- B. Hughes has a good 0% record here. Knowing the course is one of a jockey's biggest strengths.
- J. Dawson wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
One race, fourth place at Wetherby 224 days ago — the horse finished outside the top 3 and has not run since. At 4 years old with limited form, Rip It Up represents a largely unproven option, though he is current having raced just 12 days ago.
Never raced on normal ground
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £13.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- With a 10.7% win rate overall, D. Fox is one of the more dependable riders.
- A 9-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
- L. Russell & Michael Scudamore has a 4.8% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
A 5-year-old making his racecourse debut with no form to judge — everything starts here. The Russell & Scudamore team combine well in the saddle (22 wins from 188 races together), but there is nothing on the clock yet to suggest how this horse will cope with racing.
Racecourse debut
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £41.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- A 9-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
- The official rating suggests this horse has work to do. Lower-rated horses need to improve to win.
TrackLab Insight
One race in, one top-3 finish at Kelso 22 weeks ago — a respectable start that at least proves the horse can be competitive early in his career. At 5 years old with limited experience, Koa Beau is still very much learning the game.
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £23.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- P. Kirby has won 9.2% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- Finished 2nd in the last race, which is a good result. A good last run suggests the horse is in good shape.
- P. Kirby has an 11.3% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
One race, one second place at Doncaster 228 days ago — the longest gap to the last outing in the field — so there is a question mark over the readiness of this 4-year-old. The Kirby & Williamson team is well-established (51 wins from 467 races), but Batchelor's Lad has never raced on normal ground before.
Never raced on normal ground
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Absent 228 days (longest in field)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £151.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This horse is happy on Good ground. When the ground suits, a horse can run to its best.
- There is £2,451 in prize money in this race. That attracts good horses, and this one looks to belong among them.
- A 3.5% career win rate for J. Norton. That is below the top trainers.
TrackLab Insight
A 5-year-old making her racecourse debut unusually late in her career, with no form to assess. The bloodlines — Outstrip and Duke Of Marmalade — carry solid credentials for consistency, but the John Norton yard is without wins from its last 13 races together with jockey Rabbitt.
Racecourse debut
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £41.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- P. Kirby has won 9.2% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- Miss N. Cookson wins 3.4% of their races overall. That is below the average for professional jockeys.
TrackLab Insight
One race, one top-3 finish — a debut third at Newcastle just 199 days ago left Regal Thunder competitive but still seeking a breakthrough. The horse is current and fresh, last active just yesterday, but has no wins to his name yet.
Lightly raced (1 career races)
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.