Newcastle
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Midnite Ain't Your Grandad's Bookie Handicap Stakes
Starts in
36h 24min
Tapeta surface
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A low win rate on this ground from 3 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
- J. Ryan has won 8.5% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- J. Ryan wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
£1 wins 11p · 9 Could surprise
A. Mullen has won 8.0% of their races in their career
9
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A. Mullen has won 8.0% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
- A 20% win rate on this ground from 5 runs. Just like people, horses have favourite surfaces. This one likes today's ground.
- This horse is not suited by Standard ground. The ground can change a horse's chances a lot.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 9.8% win rate at this course for P. Mulrennan. Jockeys who know a track well can pick the best ground and time their run.
- A low win rate on this ground from 16 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
- J. Goldie wins only 7% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A low win rate on this ground from 3 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
- A 33.3% win rate at this course for G. Tuer. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
- An 11.7% record at this course for O. Stammers. Some jockeys just do not do well at some courses.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- L. Perratt wins 6.3% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- A prize fund of £3,140 is healthy. When trainers aim at valuable races, they usually have faith in their runner.
- L. Perratt wins only 5.7% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A prize fund of £3,140 is healthy. When trainers aim at valuable races, they usually have faith in their runner.
- Has won 1 time over this distance. That is a good sign the race length suits the horse.
- K. Scott wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- With a 5.5% win rate overall, C. Hardie is one of the more dependable riders.
- A low win rate on this ground from 6 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
- C. Hardie has a 5.1% win rate at this course. They have not had much luck here. Knowing the track helps, and that is missing.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A prize fund of £3,140 is healthy. When trainers aim at valuable races, they usually have faith in their runner.
- J. Goldie has won 9.7% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- A 7% record at this course for J. Goldie. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- There is £3,140 in prize money in this race. That attracts good horses, and this one looks to belong among them.
- T. Jackson has a 1.8% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
£1 wins 11p · 8 Could surprise
Has raced 4 times on this ground with a low win rate
8
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has raced 4 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
- A 36.4% win rate at this course for M. Coppins. Jockeys who know a track well can pick the best ground and time their run.
- A 0% record at this course for T. Carroll. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 8 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- Racing against weaker rivals than last time. Think of a Premier League team playing in the Championship. The drop in level helps.
- A 5% record at this course for S. Waugh. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- K. Stott wins 13.6% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- Finished 11th last time, which was a disappointing run. A poor last run raises questions about the horse's current form.