Newcastle
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Make The Move To Midnite Handicap Stakes
Starts in
35h 54min
Tapeta surface
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- Has raced here 2 times without winning. This course has not suited the horse so far.
- This is a 13-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 10.0% overall win rate for B. Smart. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- No wins at this distance yet. We cannot tell if the race is too long, too short or just right.
- A 7.9% record at this course for B. Smart. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 4 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- Facing weaker rivals than last time out. When a horse drops to an easier race, it often finds things easier.
- 13 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Its average finish over the last three runs is 2.3. That is steady. Horses that finish near the front often do so again.
- P. Midgley wins 8.6% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- This is a 13-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- P. Mulrennan wins 9.8% of their races at this course. Knowing the track is an advantage for any jockey.
- This is a 13-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has won at this distance 3 times before. A horse that has shown it can last the trip is a plus.
- Has had 46 career runs, so it is an experienced racehorse. Experience helps in a tough race.
- M. Loughnane wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 25% win rate on this ground from 4 runs. Just like people, horses have favourite surfaces. This one likes today's ground.
- A 6.3% overall win rate for L. Perratt. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- A 5.7% record at this course for L. Perratt. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Racing against weaker rivals than last time. Think of a Premier League team playing in the Championship. The drop in level helps.
- D. Allan wins 10.3% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- A 0% record at this course for J. Ryan. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- With £3,716 in prize money, this is a competitive race. The horse has been entered for a reason.
- M. Dods wins 9.7% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- This is a 13-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This horse runs well on today's ground, with a 22% win rate from 9 runs. The ground makes a big difference in racing.
- Has run 4 times at this track with no wins yet. Some horses do not take to some courses.
- A 0% record at this course for B. Rothwell. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- G. Tuer wins 33.3% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
- This is a 13-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has won over this distance 1 time. We know the horse can last this far, which removes one big question.
- S. Kirrane wins 10.0% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- This is a 13-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.11 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 5 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- Has run 1 time at this track with no wins yet. Some horses do not take to some courses.
- 13 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.