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Ellie's de Vega

Ellie's de Vega broke through this week at Newcastle, recording her first career win after 15 previous races without success. The 3-year-old's record of 1 win and 7 places from 16 races tells the story of a horse that has been trying hard but struggling to find the winning formula — she wins roughly 1 in every 16 races, which is well below what trainers hope for at this level. That breakthrough came on September 2nd at Newcastle, and it matters because it suggests something has finally clicked.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
3 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Chestnut
Father
Lope Y Fernandez
Mother
Peak Spirit
Owner
The Ellie Hunter Racing Syndicate
Rating
49

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
16
Career races
1
Wins
6.2%
Win rate
avg ~10%
43.8%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

What makes this timing significant is that Ellie's de Vega was racing again just yesterday, which means she is still active and in regular competition. Her recent form shows she has been knocking on the door: in her last six races, she's had a win, a second place, two more seconds, and a fifth and third. The inconsistency is typical of a horse still finding her feet, but the cluster of placings suggests she is competitive and capable of running close to winners — she just needs to turn more of those near-misses into victories.

Ellie's de Vega is trained by Philip Kirby at East Appleton in North Yorkshire. Kirby's yard is in good form this season, having sent out 36 winners already, so the horse is in a stable with experience and momentum. For a 3-year-old with just one win to her name and racing history measured in weeks rather than years, there is still plenty of potential to find. Her breakthrough at Newcastle suggests she may finally be starting to deliver on that promise.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on standard ground: 1 wins from 5 starts (20%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Good (firm-ish)
Avoids
Good to firm (drying out)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
5F – 6½F
7F – 1M
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
Class 6 (grassroots)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
2 Sep
🏆 Won
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 9 runners
22 Aug
6th
Redcar
5f – 6½f · Good · 20 runners
8 Aug
2nd
Redcar
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 8 runners
25 Jul
2nd
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · 10 runners
6 Jul
5th
Ayr
5f – 6½f · Good · 13 runners
20 Jun
3rd
Ayr
7f – 1m · Soft · 10 runners
4 Jun
3rd
Wetherby
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 10 runners
17 May
4th
Ripon
5f – 6½f · Good · 9 runners
3 May
3rd
Hamilton Park
5f – 6½f · Good · 8 runners
25 Apr
3rd
Haydock Park
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 13 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Cam Hardie Current Jockey
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Newcastle
Galloping
5 1 win, 1 second, 3 other 2 Sep 20%
Ayr
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 6 Jul 0%
Redcar
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 22 Aug 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 25 Apr 0%
Ripon
Sharp
1 1 other 17 May 0%
Hamilton Park
Sharp
1 1 third 3 May 0%
Wetherby
Galloping
1 1 third 4 Jun 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
1 1 other 25 Oct 0%
Carlisle
Undulating
1 1 other 29 May 0%