Ellie's de Vega
Ellie's de Vega is a three-year-old who has shown genuine promise in the past three weeks, culminating in a breakthrough win at Newcastle on 2 September. That victory came after months of knocking on the door — the horse had collected six places from its first 16 races, suggesting it had the ability to get the job done but needed the right conditions. When they finally arrived at Newcastle, Ellie's de Vega delivered, and that single win from 17 races (a 6% win rate) now defines a turning point rather than a ceiling.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Owner
The Ellie Hunter Racing Syndicate
📊 Key numbers
Career totals for this horse
🏁 Next race
Tomorrow
Newcastle (AW)
About 5 furlongs · Standard all-weather surface · 12 runners
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🔍 Full analysis
Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
What makes the recent form encouraging is the consistency. In the last six races, there have been two second-place finishes and another placing, alongside that victory. This is a horse that turns up and runs to form most days, even if it hasn't yet figured out how to win regularly. The trainer Philip Kirby, based at East Appleton in North Yorkshire, has an active and productive yard that has sent out 36 winners already this season, so there is genuine expertise behind the horse. Racing just one day ago, Ellie's de Vega remains in active work and seems well-suited to the kind of bread-and-butter racing where steady improvement can stack up into a rewarding career. The next win may not be far away.
⚡ Strengths and risks
What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on standard ground: 1 wins from 6 starts (17%)
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
⚠ Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
🎯 Where this horse runs best
Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Good (a little give)
Avoids
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
Class 6 (grassroots)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Likes
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
📅 Recent runs
The last 10 races, most recent first
19 Sep
5th
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 10 runners
2 Sep
🏆 Won
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 9 runners
22 Aug
6th
Redcar
5f – 6½f · Good · 20 runners
8 Aug
2nd
Redcar
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 8 runners
25 Jul
2nd
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · 10 runners
6 Jul
5th
Ayr
5f – 6½f · Good · 13 runners
20 Jun
3rd
Ayr
7f – 1m · Soft · 10 runners
4 Jun
3rd
Wetherby
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 10 runners
17 May
4th
Ripon
5f – 6½f · Good · 9 runners
3 May
3rd
Hamilton Park
5f – 6½f · Good · 8 runners
🏇 Jockeys
Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
🏟 Course record
Win rate at each course this horse has visited
| Course | Races | Results | Last run | Win rate |
|---|
| Newcastle Galloping |
6 |
1 win, 1 second, 4 other |
19 Sep |
16.7% |
| Ayr Galloping |
2 |
1 third, 1 other |
6 Jul |
0% |
| Redcar Galloping |
2 |
1 second, 1 other |
22 Aug |
0% |
| Haydock Park Galloping |
2 |
1 third, 1 other |
25 Apr |
0% |
| Ripon Sharp |
1 |
1 other |
17 May |
0% |
| Hamilton Park Sharp |
1 |
1 third |
3 May |
0% |
| Wolverhampton Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
25 Oct |
0% |
| Wetherby Galloping |
1 |
1 third |
4 Jun |
0% |
| Carlisle Undulating |
1 |
1 other |
29 May |
0% |