Ellie's de Vega
Ellie's de Vega broke through this week at Newcastle, recording her first career win after 15 previous races without success. The 3-year-old's record of 1 win and 7 places from 16 races tells the story of a horse that has been trying hard but struggling to find the winning formula — she wins roughly 1 in every 16 races, which is well below what trainers hope for at this level. That breakthrough came on September 2nd at Newcastle, and it matters because it suggests something has finally clicked.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Owner
The Ellie Hunter Racing Syndicate
📊 Key Numbers
Career statistics for this horse
43.8%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
🔍 Full Analysis
TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
What makes this timing significant is that Ellie's de Vega was racing again just yesterday, which means she is still active and in regular competition. Her recent form shows she has been knocking on the door: in her last six races, she's had a win, a second place, two more seconds, and a fifth and third. The inconsistency is typical of a horse still finding her feet, but the cluster of placings suggests she is competitive and capable of running close to winners — she just needs to turn more of those near-misses into victories.
Ellie's de Vega is trained by Philip Kirby at East Appleton in North Yorkshire. Kirby's yard is in good form this season, having sent out 36 winners already, so the horse is in a stable with experience and momentum. For a 3-year-old with just one win to her name and racing history measured in weeks rather than years, there is still plenty of potential to find. Her breakthrough at Newcastle suggests she may finally be starting to deliver on that promise.
⚡ Strengths & Risks
What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on standard ground: 1 wins from 5 starts (20%)
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
⚠ Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
🎯 Where This Horse Thrives
Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Good to firm (drying out)
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
Class 6 (grassroots)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Likes
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
📅 Recent Runs
The last 10 races, most recent first
2 Sep
🏆 Won
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 9 runners
22 Aug
6th
Redcar
5f – 6½f · Good · 20 runners
8 Aug
2nd
Redcar
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 8 runners
25 Jul
2nd
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · 10 runners
6 Jul
5th
Ayr
5f – 6½f · Good · 13 runners
20 Jun
3rd
Ayr
7f – 1m · Soft · 10 runners
4 Jun
3rd
Wetherby
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 10 runners
17 May
4th
Ripon
5f – 6½f · Good · 9 runners
3 May
3rd
Hamilton Park
5f – 6½f · Good · 8 runners
25 Apr
3rd
Haydock Park
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 13 runners
🏇 Jockey Partnerships
Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
🏟 Track Record
Win rate at each course this horse has visited
| Course | Races | Results | Last visited | Win rate |
| Newcastle Galloping |
5 |
1 win, 1 second, 3 other |
2 Sep |
20% |
| Ayr Galloping |
2 |
1 third, 1 other |
6 Jul |
0% |
| Redcar Galloping |
2 |
1 second, 1 other |
22 Aug |
0% |
| Haydock Park Galloping |
2 |
1 third, 1 other |
25 Apr |
0% |
| Ripon Sharp |
1 |
1 other |
17 May |
0% |
| Hamilton Park Sharp |
1 |
1 third |
3 May |
0% |
| Wetherby Galloping |
1 |
1 third |
4 Jun |
0% |
| Wolverhampton Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
25 Oct |
0% |
| Carlisle Undulating |
1 |
1 other |
29 May |
0% |