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Espona Bay

At three years old, Espona Bay is still finding its feet, but there are enough promising signs in its recent form to make it worth watching. Across 13 races, it has won once and placed seven times — that's a win rate of just 8%, or roughly 1 in every 13 races, but the place record tells a more encouraging story. This is a horse that turns up, competes, and rarely finishes out of the shake-up entirely.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
3 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Chestnut
Father
New Bay
Mother
Owner
Amphitheatre Racing Limited
Rating
67

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
13
Career races
1
Wins
7.7%
Win rate
avg ~10%
53.8%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

That one win came at Wolverhampton on 18 May 2026, and it arrived over a distance between 7 furlongs and a mile — the range where Espona Bay clearly feels most at home. In four races at that trip, it has won once, which works out at 25%, or 1 in every 4. That is a meaningful number. Many horses never find the distance that suits them; Espona Bay has, and that gives the trainer something solid to work with.

Scott Dixon sends this horse out from his yard in Rolleston, Nottinghamshire, and it is a stable in decent form — 33 winners on the board already this season, which is a productive return. What is slightly puzzling is that Espona Bay has raced five times at Class 5 level, the entry-level tier of British racing, and has yet to win there, despite having the ability to place consistently. Getting over the line at that level should be within reach, and the recent form suggests it may not be far away: its last three completed runs have all produced a top-three finish, which is exactly the kind of consistency that tends to precede a winner.

Having raced just one day ago, Espona Bay is clearly being kept busy, and with its best distance now identified and a yard firing on all cylinders behind it, the next few weeks could be the moment this horse builds on that Wolverhampton breakthrough.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on standard ground: 1 wins from 7 starts (14%)
Well suited by 7f – 1m distances: 25% win rate

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Good to firm (drying out)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Good (firm-ish)
Unknown
📏 Race Distance
7F – 1M
Loves
1M1F – 1M2F
Unknown
5F – 6½F
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
Avoids
Class 6 (grassroots)
Avoids
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Long straights
Unknown

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
17 Jul
3rd
Wolverhampton
7f – 1m · Standard · 10 runners
15 Jun
3rd
Windsor
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 11 runners
18 May
🏆 Won
Wolverhampton
7f – 1m · Standard · 10 runners
21 Mar
3rd
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 8 runners
5 Mar
4th
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard
28 Feb
DNF
Lingfield Park
5f – 6½f · Standard · 14 runners
12 Jan
2nd
Wolverhampton
5f – 6½f · Standard · 10 runners
22 Oct
2nd
Kempton Park
5f – 6½f · Standard_To_Slow · 12 runners
16 Sep
5th
Great Yarmouth
7f – 1m · Good_To_Soft · 8 runners
28 Aug
2nd
chelmsford
5f – 6½f · Standard · 9 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Kieran O'Neill Current Jockey
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Wolverhampton
Galloping
3 1 win, 1 second, 1 third 17 Jul 33.3%
Windsor
Sharp
2 1 third, 1 other 15 Jun 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 21 Mar 0%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
2 2 other 28 Feb 0%
Kempton Park
Galloping
1 1 second 22 Oct 0%
Great Yarmouth
Galloping
1 1 other 16 Sep 0%
chelmsford 1 1 second 28 Aug 0%
Ascot
Galloping
1 1 other 30 Apr 0%