Market favourite at 6.0 despite never having raced on wet ground—a real gap in the CV on a day when conditions favour those with proven mud experience. A second place just 17 days ago shows sharp form, but the horse has won zero from eight races and drifted hard in the betting, suggesting the market has spotted something the recent clock time hasn't fully resolved.
Wearing cheekpiecesFresh (81 days off)Won 0 of last 5Raced here beforeLoves this ground (25% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
This seven-year-old brings the best wet-ground record in the field: 1 win from 4 soft-ground runs (25%), which is a real edge on a day like this. Over a mile, he's also proven with 2 wins from 9 attempts, though 81 days away and a partnership with Jack Kearney that shows zero wins from three races together raise questions about readiness.
Best record on this ground (1 from 4)Best record at this trip (2 from 9)
S. Coen
·
C. David Maxwell
· 8yo
· 9st 9lb
· OR 53
C&DFreshness
12
Good Value
Won at this course & distanceFresh (75 days off)Won 0 of last 5Won here 1 timeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
The standout here is real: a course-and-distance winner, which is a rare edge in this field of 19. However, he hasn't won in over four years and is 75 days away from the track, raising serious questions about whether he can convert that previous course knowledge into winning again.
Fresh (81 days off)Won 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Winless from 14 races and 10lbs below the field average, this four-year-old sits at the bottom of the ratings for good reason. A 7th at Gowran Park 81 days ago is her most recent form, and there is nothing in the record to suggest she can upset the wider picture here.
P. McGettigan(2)
·
J. P Murtagh
· 3yo
· 9st 11lb
· OR 60
HeadgearFreshness
10
Good Value
Wearing blinkersFresh (62 days off)Won 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
The editorial picks this one among the chief dangers, but the record tells a different story: winless from just six races with only one place finish, and a 7th at Fairyhouse 62 days ago as her most recent effort. At three years old she is the least experienced in a wide-open field, and the high draw (16) works against her.
S. Tormey(7)
·
T. G McCourt
· 7yo
· 8st 12lb
· OR 42
FreshnessForm
10
Good Value
Quick turnaroundWon 0 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this groundWon at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in the field (62 races) but comes back just 7 days after a 5th at Bellewstown—a quick turnaround that may either show sharp fitness or suggest he's been campaigned hard. A 17% win rate on soft ground is his key positive, though 11lbs below average weight is a structural handicap.
Most experienced (62 runs, field avg 21)Runs again after just 7 days
Second at Gowran Park just 20 days ago—one of the closest recent runs in the field—but this winless four-year-old from 16 races has never found a way over the line when it matters. The high draw (15) adds a headwind against the 11% low-draw bias that has governed winners here.
Wearing blinkersWon 0 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Lowest rated in the field (13lbs below average) and carries the least weight as a result, but that's a penalty not a bonus—the handicapper sees a horse that wins at just 4% (2 from 56). A 17% record on heavy ground is his only genuine edge, and even that may not translate to soft conditions today.
Lowest rated, 12lbs below averageCarries lowest weight in field
One of the few true course winners here, having broken through at Gowran Park in June, and that victory gives her genuine credentials over this mile. However, recent form is patchy (8th last time out 43 days ago), and her record on yielding-to-soft ground shows zero wins from 3 starts, which is a real problem today.
Fresh (61 days off)Won 1 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
Won at Limerick 74 days ago and followed up with a placed effort, showing form that stands out in a compressed field. A soft-ground win in his career record (1 from 5) is a genuine asset today, though 61 days away and a question mark over his last run leave something to prove on the day.
Wearing cheekpiecesFresh (81 days off)Won 0 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
This ten-year-old has won 2 from 43 races, but here's the kicker: he's a specialist on yielding ground (2 wins from 5 runs, 40%) and hates soft ground (0 wins from 8). Today's wet conditions are exactly what he doesn't like, making his standout credential a liability rather than an asset.
One of the more successful in the field (2 career wins)
J. O'Gorman(4)
·
E. D Delany
· 4yo
· 10st 2lb
· OR 60
HeadgearForm
1.6
Wearing hoodWon 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
Placed in 2 of her last 3 races but hamstrung by a 0% record on standard or fast ground—exactly the opposite of what matters today. A 16th place 29 days ago at Naas is a damaging recent effort that sits between her two placed finishes, and her single win from 23 races comes on good ground, not wet.
R. Mulligan(2)
·
C. David Maxwell
· 3yo
· 9st 1lb
· OR 50
HeadgearFreshness
1.6
Wearing cheekpiecesFresh (106 days off)Won 1 of last 5Won here 1 time
TrackLab Insight
A course winner at Gowran Park (April) with a sharp 20% win rate over 7f–1m, and wet ground shouldn't trouble her based on the record. However, 106 days away and two straight seventh-place finishes before that suggest the yard hasn't found a path back to form since that April breakthrough.
Wearing cheekpiecesFresh (782 days off)Won 0 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Never raced on wet ground and absent 782 days—by far the longest absence in the field—making this a horse with a mountain to climb on both counts. A single win from 23 career races and over 20 months off the track means any hope here relies on a minor miracle of recuperation.
Never raced on wet groundAbsent 782 days (longest in field)
J. Pietropaolo(4)
·
I. O'Connor
· 5yo
· 9st 13lb
· OR 57
FreshnessForm
0.4
Fresh (83 days off)Won 1 of last 5Won at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Placed in 2 of her last 3 races according to the standout marker, but the actual form shows 15th and 13th in her last two runs 83 and 129 days ago—the data is contradictory and concerning. A 5-year-old with just one win from 13 races who has been off the track for over two months, this looks like weak form dressed up.
Never raced on wet ground and hasn't run in 172 days, making this a real outsider with a double liability. A three-year-old with zero wins from four career races and form that bottomed out at Dundalk, she sits well outside the likely framing.
Only four races into his career with zero wins and just one place finish, this is a horse still very much searching for basic competence on a racecourse. At 74 days away and rated +2, there is insufficient evidence to support backing him in a field this size.
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
The form chart is baffling: the standout claims '3 straight top-3 finishes' but the actual data shows 15th, 12th, 14th in recent runs—this is a contradiction that suggests data error or confusion. Either way, zero wins from six races and a 15th last time out 48 days ago tell you this horse isn't ready.
Best career win rate in the field at 14% (1 from 7), which is genuinely eye-catching for a three-year-old still finding his feet. However, recent form is poor (12th at Gowran Park 38 days ago), and the fact he has only seven races means inconsistency at this stage is to be expected.
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.