Wearing tongue strapFresh (122 days off)Won 1 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite at 4.5 and only 4 years old, but there's a critical weakness: he's never raced on wet ground in his career. His recent form shows a win at Cork and a second at Punchestown, both encouraging signs, yet running him on unfamiliar ground conditions when he's unproven in the mud feels risky. Draw 3 gives him a low-draw advantage on a course where those positions carry no real bias.
Fresh (143 days off)Won 0 of last 5Won here 1 time
TrackLab Insight
The standout class act in this field: a 10-year-old with a 36% win rate, the best in the race, and he's won at Class 1 level four times from eight attempts. However, he's never won on soft ground (0 from 4), and the wet conditions here represent a genuine vulnerability for a horse that thrives on faster surfaces. The market has him shortening to 5.6, but that lack of soft-ground form is a significant red flag.
Best career win rate in field (1 in 3)
Trainer Quotes
Feb 2026
"The one thing about him is he needs top of the ground to be at his best at this stage of his career. We'll have a discussion with Ronnie [Bartlett, owner] closer to the time to see if he goes to Cheltenham or waits for Aintree. The ground will be the deciding factor. 19-02-26"
Apr 2023
"A very smart novice chaser who won twice earlier this season, including the Arkle trial at Cheltenham's November meeting. His last run was a fair effort when second to El Fabiolo who has not done the form any harm since. We missed Cheltenham last month with him as the ground was too soft, but he is in very good order and he is going to Aintree on Thursday for the Manifesto Novices' Chase which is a Grade 1 over 2m4f. He will be up against Stage Star amd Saint Roi so it won't be easy. His work has been very encouraging though. 12-04-23"
Fresh (73 days off)Won 1 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
At just 4 years old, Joe Cool shows rare consistency: he's won once and placed in four of his six races, finishing in the frame in five of his last six outings. The problem is stark: he's won on soft ground zero times from three attempts, making a wet surface at Gowran Park an uncomfortable prospect despite his otherwise solid record. His 7.0 odds reflect potential undermined by ground concerns.
The market's second favourite at 5.5, and for good reason: she's won four times from sixteen races (25% win rate) and was second at Galway just 33 days ago. But here's the killer: she's never won on soft ground (0 from 3), and wet conditions at Gowran will test that weakness severely. Her form line is strong elsewhere, but this surface is a significant concern despite the attractive odds.
Fresh (126 days off)Won 2 of last 5Won here 2 timesHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
The most interesting runner: a 7-year-old with a 32% win rate (7 from 22) and crucially, he's won twice from four races at this course—a genuine Gowran specialist. However, the wet ground is his Achilles heel: just 1 win from 8 on soft going, and 0 from 3 on soft-to-heavy. A talented horse held back by conditions, and his recent win at Punchestown came on better going than he'll face here.
Course specialist (2 wins from 4 here)Best record on this ground (1 from 8)
Trainer Quotes
Feb 2026
"I couldn't believe how well he ran at the Dublin Racing Festival as he hadn't been back doing full work for long. He'll come on loads for that and that makes me think he has a big chance in the Brown Advisory. The ground should suit and he's got lots of experience, which will stand him in good stead in a race like that. 09-02-26"
Wearing tongue strapWon 0 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in the field with 34 races under his belt, but that experience hasn't translated into wins: just four victories across his entire career. His record on soft ground is concerning (0 wins from 4 attempts), and recent form is patchy—11th, 3rd, 15th—suggesting he's lost a step at nine years old. A Class 2 winner at Cheltenham on good ground, but wet conditions expose his weaknesses.
An experienced 8-year-old chasing his third win, but recent form paints a bleak picture: 12th, 6th, 5th across his last three outings tells you he's knocking on the door without getting through it. The wet ground here is actually his best friend—he's won on yielding going before—but a long layoff (32 days) and a market price of 19.0 suggests bookmakers see little value in backing him.
An 8-year-old mare with five career wins showing one critical strength: she's won four times from nine attempts on yielding ground (44% win rate), making this wet surface tailor-made for her. However, she pulled up at Galway just 32 days ago and has yet to win at Fairyhouse in five attempts. The ground suits her perfectly, but recent form and course record create doubt.
One of the more successful in the field (5 career wins)
A 7-year-old mare with two wins from eleven races, but critically, she's never raced on wet ground—an unknown quantity. Her recent form is poor (7th, 6th, 7th across her last three outings), and her last win was ten months ago at Thurles. Asking her to debut on soft ground while out of form is a stretch at 15.0 odds.
A 5-year-old with a perfect record from just two races—one win, one place—but that's where the story stops abruptly. He's never raced on wet ground and looks like a horse being thrown in the deep end: his last outing was a heavy defeat at Bellewstown (59 days ago), and inexperience paired with untested ground conditions makes 21.0 odds look generous rather than generous.
Never raced on wet groundLightly raced (2 career races)
A 6-year-old mare still searching for her first win after ten races—0 wins from 10 attempts with just one place finish to her name. This is a horse that simply lacks the speed or class to win at this level, and wet ground offers no redemption. At 34.0 odds, she's a clear pass.
An outsider at 51.0 showing poor recent form: 11th at Ballinrobe just 22 days ago after a 5th three weeks earlier. A 5-year-old with only one win from seven races and a weakness for soft ground (0 wins from his limited starts on yielding or softer), Figero offers little reason to back him in a competitive field of 17.
A 7-year-old returning from a 325-day absence—one of the longest layoffs in the field—with a poor record (1 win from 13 races) and zero experience on wet ground. His last outing was a 9th at Fairyhouse nearly a year ago, and throwing him into the deep end after such a break at unfamiliar conditions makes 67.0 odds look overgenerous. This is a genuine long shot.
A 6-year-old mare winless on wet ground in her career despite twelve races under her belt, which alone should eliminate her from consideration. Her single win came at Wexford on good-to-yielding going, and her recent form shows placings (2nd at Cork) mixed with poor efforts (4th and 6th). At 34.0 odds, she offers no value.
An 8-year-old mare with modest overall form (3 wins from 20 races), but she's a specialist on good ground (2 wins from 6). Her weakness on soft ground is alarming: 0 wins from 4 attempts on yielding-to-soft conditions, making wet ground at Gowran a real problem. Recent form is poor (8th at Tramore 19 days ago), and 21.0 odds don't compensate for her ground requirements.
A 4-year-old gelding with a dire record: 0 wins from 4 races and finishing outside the frame every time (13th, 7th, 10th, 15th). Running again just one day after finishing 13th at Roscommon suggests either desperation or a change in tactics that's yet to show fruit. At 151.0 odds, this is a horse simply out of his depth.
A 5-year-old mare returning after 818 days off the track—the longest absence in the entire field. She raced just once in her career, finishing 12th, and has never experienced wet ground. This is a horse with nothing to recommend her: no form, no experience, no recent racing, and a market price of 151.0 reflects that perfectly. An absolute outlier with no realistic chance.
Never raced on wet groundLightly raced (1 career races)Absent 818 days (longest in field)
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.