Closest to a winner in the field with a second-place finish (beaten just 0.2 lengths at the Curragh) in three races, showing genuine ability and a competitive edge. However, never raced on wet ground, hasn't won despite clear improvement, and is drawn high (4)—the market odds of 1.92 look fair at best.
Never raced on wet groundLightly raced (3 career races)
Seven races with two placings and no wins, but the recent form is tight—a 4th at this very course just 25 days ago beaten only 1.8 lengths. Trained by J P Murtagh's powerhouse yard (53 winners this season) and fancied at 6.0, Hasita looks the most battle-hardened of the contenders with course experience and a proven trainer.
Just one race producing a third-place finish (beaten 3 lengths) at Limerick 74 days ago, so this is a lightly-raced runner with something to build on. Trained by J A Stack (12 winners this season) and backed at 5.5 odds, Tourin offers value if that single placed run was genuine form rather than fortune.
Back in action after just two days following a 6th-place finish, showing this horse is actively campaigned. Drawn in the low-bias zone (2) which offers a genuine edge, but five races without a win and no recent placed finishes suggest racing luck is hard to find here.
Racecourse debut by Night Of Thunder (reliable sire) out of a Monsun mare, so the pedigree is straightforward and workmanlike. Drawn high (14) in an unfavourable position for a first-timer at 19/1, with no early experience to lean on.
Racecourse debut with respectable bloodlines (Havana Grey sire, Sir Prancealot dam) suggesting someone believed in this runner. Drawn high (17) in a field where that position wins just 4% of the time—pedigree can't overcome a terrible draw for a first-timer.
Two placings in three races including a recent second (beaten just 3 lengths), so this horse is competitive and improving. However, never raced on wet ground, drawn high (16) where draws rarely win, and still without a victory—too many concerns for the odds.
Never raced on wet groundLightly raced (3 career races)
Just one race on the board (a 7th at Limerick 74 days ago), so very little to go on beyond raw potential. Patrick Foley's yard has 12 winners this season suggesting competence, but this horse is too lightly raced and lacks the form data to inspire confidence.
Racecourse debut by Sioux Nation (decent sire) out of a Choisir mare, with no track record and no trainer pedigree to lean on (Gerard O'Leary has won zero from 17 races with this jockey). At 34/1 odds and drawn low (3) where low draws have a real edge, but you're betting blind on an unknown.
Winless from two races including a harsh twelfth-place finish just days ago, has never raced on wet ground, and drawn in the unfavourable high zone (13). Nothing in this profile suggests a turnaround at 34/1 odds.
Never raced on wet groundLightly raced (2 career races)
Racecourse debut with no prior form to assess—stepping in blind against horses with race experience. Lucky Vega sire line suggests some foundation, but at 67/1 odds and drawn mid-field in a low-bias position, this is a pure lottery ticket.
Winless from two races with back-to-back defeats (9th then 6th) in the past fortnight, and has never seen wet ground like this. Noel Meade's yard is firing but this horse hasn't shown enough yet to overcome a wet-track debut at mid-draw.
Never raced on wet groundLightly raced (2 career races)
Two races, two defeats by massive margins (32.8 and 30.8 lengths), never tried on wet ground, and at 201/1—this runner is way out of its depth. The low-bias draw (6) offers no comfort when form is this poor.
Never raced on wet groundLightly raced (2 career races)
Four races, zero wins, zero places, and a recent 11th beaten 23.5 lengths—this horse has shown nothing and never encountered wet ground. The 201/1 odds reflect the reality that Sarfarcat is a complete non-runner in this contest.
One race, one tenth-place finish (beaten 27 lengths), never tried on wet ground, and now at 201/1 odds—this horse has given nothing to work with. Drawn in the favourable low zone (1) but that's the only positive angle for a runner who looks thoroughly outclassed.
Never raced on wet groundLightly raced (1 career races)
Wearing blinkersFresh (75 days off)Won 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
Four-year-old (older than the field) with six races, two placings, and no wins—and hasn't raced in 75 days, which is a long break before tackling wet ground for the first time. The disqualification in recent form and weak record suggest this horse is past it.
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.