Dundalk

The market favourite and one of the highest-rated horses in the field, Bella Colombia arrives on the back of a close second at Fairyhouse just 11 days ago — that's encouraging freshness. Crucially, both of her career wins have come here at Dundalk on this exact type of surface, making her the standout course specialist in this race. She's rated level with Captain Ciano at the top of the field and looks the most logical danger to the selection.

The veteran of the field with 50 career races under his belt, Rockbury Lad brings experience in abundance but his last six runs have been largely disappointing, including a 7th just nine days ago. His three career wins have come on good ground rather than this normal surface, and his record doesn't flag this track as a happy hunting ground. At seven years old, he's a known quantity — and that's not entirely a compliment in a competitive heat like this.

Famous Enough has a quietly useful record on this type of normal surface — one win from five starts at around 1 in 5, which is better than most in this field on comparable conditions. He's one of the lower-rated horses here, sitting just a pound above the field average, but two placed finishes in his last three completed runs suggest he's ticking over reasonably well. Not a likely winner, but not without a chance of picking up a place.

Named alongside Bella Colombia as one of the biggest dangers to the selection, Kitty Bear won at Roscommon 62 days ago and has three career wins from 26 races — a solid record for this level. Her last two runs since that win have been poor (11th and 8th), so she'll need to bounce back here, but the editorial team clearly believe she retains the ability to threaten. Drawn highest of all in stall 17, though the draw data suggests that makes little difference at this course and distance.