✓ Field size✓ Trainer 14-day strike rate✓ Carried weight
Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
+This is a 7-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
+Not enough recent runners for C. Collins to judge their current form.
−C. Collins wins 7.2% of their races overall. That is below the top trainers.
TrackLab Insight
The only horse in this field who has actually raced before, and that experience alone makes this the favourite in a race dominated by debut runners. The one previous run came at Leopardstown 46 days ago and ended in fourth, beaten four and a half lengths — not a winning return, but at least we know this horse can handle a racecourse. The catch: that race was not on wet ground, so today's muddy conditions are an unknown factor, and the jockey-trainer combination has yet to win in five attempts together.
Never raced on wet groundLightly raced (1 career races)Market favourite (2.5)
+This is a 7-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
+H. De Bromhead has won 13.2% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
−H. De Bromhead wins only 10.4% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Making a debut like every other horse here except the favourite, but Stanger has the most powerful name behind it in the yard: Henry De Bromhead, one of Ireland's leading jump trainers, who has sent out three winners in the last two weeks. The jockey and trainer have also combined for 14 wins from 56 races together, which is a solid partnership record. At just over 3/1 for a first-time runner in wet conditions, the market clearly thinks this stable has high hopes for this one.
Racecourse debutTrainer in best form (3 from 24 last 2wk)
+7 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
+Carrying 164 lbs today, which is a reasonable weight. Less weight means less effort, especially late in the race when horses tire.
−Not rated highly by the official rater. The rating reflects what the horse has done so far, and it is modest.
TrackLab Insight
The most talked-about debutant in this field, bought for 60,000 euros and highlighted by the editorial as the one to beat — yet the market has dramatically cooled on this horse, drifting from a near-certainty to a 6/1 shot. The trainer has sent out four winners from ten races in this type of event this season, which is a strong record, but this is still a first race with nothing in the form book to confirm the hype. Worth respecting the trainer's form, but the big drift in the betting is a flag you cannot ignore.
+This is a 7-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
+P. A. Fahy has won 6.6% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
−P. A. Fahy wins 6.6% of their races overall. That is below the top trainers.
TrackLab Insight
Another debut runner in what is a field packed with first-timers, and on paper there is very little to separate this horse from the other unknowns. The jockey and trainer have only combined for one win from eleven races together, which is a thin record. At 12/1 with no form to back it up, this is a speculative pick at best.
+This is a 7-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
+P. A. Fahy has won 6.6% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
−This jockey has not won a lot of races. Their career record is below average.
TrackLab Insight
The only female horse in the field, and she carries 7lbs less than her rivals as a result — a built-in weight advantage that is worth noting in a race where margins can be tight. That said, this is a first race with no form to lean on, the jockey and trainer have never teamed up before, and 21/1 reflects how little confidence the market has. The weight allowance is the one concrete angle here.
+This is a 7-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
+Carrying 164 lbs today, which is a reasonable weight. Less weight means less effort, especially late in the race when horses tire.
−P. Mulligan wins 3.1% of their races overall. That is below the top trainers.
TrackLab Insight
One of four debutants in this race with no form whatsoever, and the jockey and trainer have never worked together before — that combination of unknowns makes this one of the hardest horses in the field to assess. At 21/1, the market is not offering any encouragement either. Honest answer: there is simply nothing to go on here.
+This is a 7-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
+Set to carry 164 lbs. In racing every pound counts, and this horse is not carrying too much.
−A 0% career win rate for Mr O. T. Gilligan. That is on the low side and could matter today.
TrackLab Insight
Another first-time runner, and the longest price in the field at 27/1, which tells its own story. More concerning is that this jockey and trainer have raced together 22 times without a single win — a very thin record for a debut where you want everything pointing in the right direction. Hard to find a reason to side with this one.
Racecourse debut
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shotScores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
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