Ballinrobe
·
Sherry Fitzgerald Mayo Handicap Hurdle
Awaiting result
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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Underrated horse
We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Came home 1st last time out. A good recent run often carries over to the next race.
- S. Torrens wins 6.1% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- 19 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite at 6.0, Dolly Watkins arrives here in the best form in the field — winning at Limerick just 17 days ago and finishing second the time before that. She's gone from struggling to place to winning back-to-back races, which is a genuine purple patch, though the odds have drifted sharply from where they opened.
Market favourite (6.0)
£1 wins £7 · 13 Solid chance
Very little experience on today's ground
13
Underrated horse
We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- D. Richard Barry wins 30% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
- 19 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
The standout course specialist in the field — three wins from seven races at Ballinrobe, including a victory here less than a year ago, makes this the only horse with a proven record at this exact track and distance. That record works out to winning nearly 1 in every 2 times it has run here, which is remarkable. The concern is that it hasn't raced in almost a full year, so fitness after that long a break is the one big question mark.
Only course winner (3 from 7 here)
Only winner at this distance
Has won over this course and distance
Best record at this trip (2 from 4)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £9.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- Today's race is over 2m 6½f. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
- A 19-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
La Tene bounced back to finish third at Clonmel three weeks ago after pulling up at Limerick the time before, which gives this race a slightly unpredictable flavour. Seven career races with only that one place to show for it means the win column is still empty, but the recent third suggests she hasn't given up. Priced at 8.8, she's not dismissed by the market despite the modest record.
Relatively inexperienced (7 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Today's race is over 2m 6½f. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
- E. McNamara wins 6.9% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- A 19-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
The editorial pick for this race, and at just five years old he is one of the least-experienced horses in the field with only five races under his belt — meaning there is likely more to come. He finished fifth on his most recent run at Limerick, which was his handicap debut and a step in the right direction, though he has never raced on wet ground before. The trainer and jockey have combined for five wins from 24 races together, which offers some encouragement.
Never raced on wet ground
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Today's race is over 2m 6½f. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
- The official rating is 15.9 points higher than the average for this race. The official rater sees this horse as one of the better runners today.
- This is a 19-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Rated 16 points above the field average, Mr Dibbs is one of the highest-rated horses in this race on paper — but the odds have drifted dramatically and the form is hard to trust. He has never raced on wet ground, which is a real unknown here, and he hasn't run in eight months. His one career win came on fast ground, which is the opposite of what he faces today.
Never raced on wet ground
£1 wins £9 · 9 Could surprise
Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice
9
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £10.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- 2m 6½f is a good distance for this horse. Over its best distance, it can run its own race.
- This is a 19-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Placed in two of her last three completed races — second at Punchestown and third the time before — Yoursimplythebest has been knocking on the door without breaking through in nine career attempts. The worry is that she pulled up on her most recent run at Fairyhouse three months ago, which puts a question mark over that encouraging earlier form. Still, she has placed three times from nine races, which makes her one of the more competitive winless horses in the field.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £9.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- A 2m 6½f race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
- This is a 19-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
A five-year-old still searching for a first win from seven races, Sock It To Me showed real promise with a close second at Fairyhouse last month — then pulled up on its most recent run at Limerick. That hot-and-cold pattern makes it tricky to trust, and the trainer has gone 0 from 15 in the past two weeks, which doesn't help the cause.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
£1 wins £6.50 · 8 Could surprise
Not enough recent runners for M. Michael McNiff to judge their current form
8
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £7.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Not enough recent runners for M. Michael McNiff to judge their current form.
- 2m 6½f is a good distance for this horse. Over its best distance, it can run its own race.
- This is a 19-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
A winner just over a year ago at Kilbeggan, Joe's Turn arrived at that run in decent form — but then fell last time out and hasn't been seen since, now returning after nine months off the track. Crucially, he has never raced on wet ground, and his record on heavy or soft conditions is a blank page. Until we know how he handles today's conditions, that's a risk worth noting.
Never raced on wet ground
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £17.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 2m 6½f race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
- Rated 78 by the official rater. That is a strong number based on past results.
- This is a 19-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced runner in this race along with Eddies Pride, Made In The Woods has had 33 races but only one win, which came over three years ago. He has been racing regularly and finished eighth at Clonmel just 15 days ago, so at least fitness isn't the issue — but one win from 33 outings is a record that speaks for itself. His best ground record is soft, which at least suits today.
Among the more experienced (33 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £26.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- A 2m 6½f race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
- A 19-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
The longest-absent horse in the entire field, Celtic Crossing hasn't raced in 549 days — over 18 months off the track. Zero wins and zero places from five career races means there is no form to cling to, and a return from such a lengthy absence makes this one of the biggest unknowns in the race. It's hard to find a compelling reason to get involved here.
Absent 549 days (longest in field)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £21.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has raced 3 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
- With a 7.2% win rate overall, S. O'Keeffe is one of the more dependable riders.
- This is a 19-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
The oldest horse in the race at 13, Dontdooddson carries the lowest weight in the field — which is the one advantage worth noting. But two wins from 35 races tells you this is a horse that very rarely converts, and his recent form shows consecutive seventh-place finishes. His record on wet ground is also poor, with zero wins from six attempts in soft or heavy conditions.
Carries lowest weight in field
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £41.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Rated 88 by the official rater. That is a strong number based on past results.
- A 2m 6½f race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
- This is a 19-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Priced at 41.0, Ranger Billy is one of the outsiders in this field — and the recent form makes it hard to argue otherwise, with a 16th place finish and a pull-up in his last two runs. He also has a poor record on soft ground with zero wins from five attempts in similar conditions to today. At 24 career races and just two wins, the numbers don't point his way.
One of the more successful in the field (2 career wins)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £67.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- 2m 6½f is a good distance for this horse. Over its best distance, it can run its own race.
- P. John Reilly has a 0% overall win rate, which is on the low side. That may mean the horse is not at its best.
TrackLab Insight
Six races, no wins, no places, and a pulled-up finish last time out — Golden Order's record is one of the thinnest in the field. Its last two completed runs saw it beaten by nearly 50 and 94 lengths respectively, which puts the scale of the challenge in blunt terms. At odds of 67.0, the market has made its assessment.
Relatively inexperienced (6 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £51.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Today's race is over 2m 6½f. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
- Has raced 6 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
- This is a 19-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Twelve career races and still winless — Wild As Fire has managed just one place finish across that entire record, and pulled up on his most recent outing at Tramore. At 10 years old and priced at 51.0, there is little in the data to suggest today will be different. The form has been going the wrong way.
Winless from 12 career races
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £67.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has raced 6 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
- Today's race is over 2m 6½f. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
- This is a 19-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced runner in the field with 37 races, Eddies Pride has the best record on wet ground of any horse here — one win from six attempts in similar conditions, which stands out in a field where many have poor or no wet-ground form. The trouble is that her last three runs include two pull-ups and a 14th place, so that past form feels a long way off right now. Hard to fancy at 67.0.
Best record on this ground (1 from 6)
Most experienced (37 runs, field avg 16)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £51.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- 2m 6½f is a good distance for this horse. Over its best distance, it can run its own race.
- The jockey has done well at this track before. Knowing the course helps with positioning and timing.
- This is a 19-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
One win from 33 races puts Max Time firmly among the least successful horses in this field, and his record on wet ground — zero wins from a combined 13 attempts across soft and heavy conditions — makes today's weather a problem rather than a help. He is the lowest-rated runner in the field, sitting 11 points below the average official rating. There is very little in the data to suggest a change of fortune.
Lowest rated, 11lbs below average
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.