Ballinrobe
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Treacy's Pharmacies Mares Maiden Hurdle
Awaiting result
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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Our top pick for this race
Very strong chance
Odds 4/9
£1 wins 44p · 54 Very strong chance
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.44 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- An average finish of 2.7 over the last three races. Finishing near the front this often is a good sign.
- An 18-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
The clear standout in this field and the strong market favourite at 1.45 — that is a price that reflects genuine superiority over her rivals here. She has finished second in each of her last two races, most recently beaten less than two lengths at Cork, and the editorial verdict calls her form 'far and away the best on offer' in what is described as a very weak race. Trained by Gordon Elliott, one of Ireland's powerhouse yards, she is lightly raced with just three runs and looks to have a winning performance in her.
Lightly raced (3 career races)
Trainer in best form (3 from 55 last 2wk)
Market favourite (1.45)
£1 wins £6 · 20 Strong chance
Very little experience on today's ground
20
Underrated horse
We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £7.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- Finishing 2nd last time is encouraging. A horse that finishes well is usually in good shape.
- This is an 18-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Second in the market at 7/1 and arguably the most fascinating case in the field — 14 career races, six places, and not a single win. She was beaten just over a length at Dundalk 16 days ago, and a length before that, so she is arriving in fine nick and clearly competitive. The puzzle is whether she can finally convert that consistency into a first victory.
2nd in the market (7.0)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £13.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has been off the track for 175 days. That is a long break. Some horses come back fresh. Others need a run to get fit again.
- Has been off the track for 175 days. That is a long break. Some horses come back fresh. Others need a run to get fit again.
- An 18-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Five races and still waiting for a first win, with a five-month absence since her last outing making this something of a comeback appearance. She has never raced on wet ground, so today's muddy conditions are an unknown quantity for her. A solitary second place is the best she has managed, and recent form has been well beaten.
Never raced on wet ground
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £12.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- No worries here. As a mare, past results suggest this type of horse suits this kind of race.
- This is an 18-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Six races without a win or a place, though a fourth last time out at Clonmel is at least a step in the right direction after a string of finishes in the teens. Ridden by Danny Mullins, a high-profile jockey whose presence adds some interest, though his last 14 days have not produced a winner. At 12/1 she needs a significant leap forward to justify that position in the market.
Among the fancied runners (12.0)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £12.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- There is £7,068 in prize money in this race. That attracts good horses, and this one looks to belong among them.
- Ran well last time out. A good recent run often carries over to the next race.
- This is an 18-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Making her very first racecourse appearance today at the age of five, so there is absolutely no form to go on. At 12/1 she is among the shorter prices in this field, which is intriguing given the complete absence of any racing evidence. Everything about her is an unknown — this is a pure leap of faith.
Racecourse debut
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £21.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- Has yet to win over this distance. It is like asking a sprinter to run a marathon. Distance matters, and this horse has not shown it can win here.
- 18 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Four races and four finishes in the bottom half — fifth, sixth, sixth, and eighth — with the gaps to the winner growing rather than shrinking. She did race at Ballinrobe earlier in her career, so today's course is familiar territory, but that run produced only a sixth. At 21/1 she is one of the more fancied outsiders, though her form does not obviously justify that position.
Among the fancied runners (21.0)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £126.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- There is £7,068 in prize money in this race. That attracts good horses, and this one looks to belong among them.
- A 6-year-old is in the best racing years. Horses at this age have both strength and experience.
- A 0% record at this course for T. Dreaper. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
Just one career race to her name, and that ended in an unseating — so there is almost nothing to judge her on. She has never raced on wet ground, which is a genuine unknown heading into today's conditions. With the market sending her out at 130/1, this is firmly one for experience rather than expectation.
Never raced on wet ground
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £101.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A prize fund of £7,068 is healthy. When trainers aim at valuable races, they usually have faith in their runner.
- A 2.2% record at this course for E. Christopher McCarthy. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
Three races and nothing to show for any of them — two did not even produce a finishing position, suggesting the horse failed to complete. The one recorded finish was eighth, beaten 43 lengths, at Cork 12 days ago. She has never raced on wet ground, and at 100/1 the market is not expecting much of a turnaround today.
Never raced on wet ground
Lightly raced (3 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £41.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This horse is happy on Soft ground. When the ground suits, a horse can run to its best.
- There is £7,068 in prize money in this race. That attracts good horses, and this one looks to belong among them.
- C. Hughes has a 4% overall win rate, which is on the low side. That may mean the horse is not at its best.
TrackLab Insight
Another horse making her racecourse debut today with no form whatsoever to guide us. The jockey and trainer have never worked together before, adding another layer of uncertainty. At 40/1, the market is treating this as a learning exercise rather than a genuine winning chance.
Racecourse debut
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £67.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This horse runs well on today's ground, with a 25% win rate from 4 runs. The ground makes a big difference in racing.
- No wins at this distance yet. We cannot tell if the race is too long, too short or just right.
- A 2.9% record at this course for T. Cleary. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
Comfortably the most experienced horse in the field with 14 career races — the average runner here has had around four — and the only one with a proven record on wet ground, winning one from four attempts on similar conditions. That wet-ground form stands out in a field full of horses who have never encountered muddy going before. However, she is returning from a four-month break and her last three runs have produced three bottom-half finishes, so she needs to rediscover her best.
Best record on this ground (1 from 4)
Most experienced (14 runs, field avg 4)
Best career win rate in field (1 in 14)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £81.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has yet to win over this distance. It is like asking a sprinter to run a marathon. Distance matters, and this horse has not shown it can win here.
- Has been off the track for 89 days. That is a long break. Some horses come back fresh. Others need a run to get fit again.
- An 18-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Two races, two poor results — eighth and twelfth — and no experience whatsoever of wet ground. The jockey-trainer combination has yet to win in 11 races together, which does not inspire confidence. There is simply nothing in the record to suggest a different outcome today.
Never raced on wet ground
Lightly raced (2 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £151.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- 159 days without racing. A long break can be a worry, as it takes time to rebuild fitness.
- J. G Gilligan wins 4.3% of their races overall. That is below the average for professional jockeys.
TrackLab Insight
Four races and not a single top-three finish to speak of, with her most recent outing ending in a pull-up and the one before producing a defeat of 83 lengths. She is priced at 151/1, the joint-longest odds in the field, and that price reflects a record that offers no encouragement. Returning from a four-month break does nothing to improve the picture.
Outsider at 151.0
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £151.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- Has yet to win over this distance. It is like asking a sprinter to run a marathon. Distance matters, and this horse has not shown it can win here.
- Only 13th last time out. That is not what we want to see before today's race.
TrackLab Insight
A busy recent schedule — three races in 43 days — but the results have been brutal: a pull-up, then a 13th-place finish beaten 124 lengths at Fairyhouse just 13 days ago. The data shows only one officially recorded finishing position from three races, and it is not a flattering one. At 151/1 joint-longest in the field, the market has seen enough.
Lightly raced (3 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £81.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 6.1% overall win rate for P. Enright. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
- P. Enright has not won in their last 7 rides. A jockey's recent results matter, just as a horse's do.
- 18 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
A third place from two career races is a reasonable foundation, but her most recent outing 13 days ago ended in a pull-up at Fairyhouse — a step backward from that promising start. She has never raced on wet ground, so today's conditions are an unknown, and the trainer Norman Lee has had no winners in the last fortnight. More questions than answers right now.
Never raced on wet ground
Lightly raced (2 career races)
1
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £126.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- The jockey, D. Meyler, has won 5 of their last 12 races. A jockey in good form can help a horse.
- With an 8.2% win rate overall, D. Meyler is one of the more dependable riders.
- An 18-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
One career race, a distant eighth, and then nothing for eight months — the longest absence of any runner in this field. She has never raced on wet ground, so today's conditions are entirely new territory. The one bright spot is her jockey Donagh Meyler, who has been in sharp form recently with five wins from 12 rides in the last two weeks.
Never raced on wet ground
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Absent 240 days (longest in field)
Jockey in best form (5 from 12 last 2wk)
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.