Watch The Weather

The most interesting thread in that career is what happens when the ground gets soft and the mud starts flying. On wet, cut-up ground, Watch The Weather wins 2 from 7 races — nearly 1 in 3 — which is a dramatically better return than its overall average. Conditions clearly matter enormously here, and any time the rain arrives, this horse becomes considerably more interesting. Similarly, at Wexford racecourse, Watch The Weather has won 2 of just 5 races, which is a striking record for a horse that does not win all that often elsewhere. Two wins from five at one track suggests a genuine affinity — something about the track, the tight turns, or the typical ground there suits this horse perfectly.

The partnership with Rachael Blackmore is worth noting. In 9 races together, the pair have won 3 times — a win rate of 33%, or almost 1 in 3. That is a remarkable conversion rate and more than double the horse's overall average. When Blackmore takes the ride, something clearly clicks.

Watch The Weather last won at Punchestown in November 2024, and the six races since have produced no further victories, with a second place the only real highlight. The horse raced just yesterday, so it is clearly being kept busy, and trainer R P Cody's yard in Co Kilkenny has sent out 6 winners already this season — a yard in decent form. The first win came at Cork back in August 2022, so this is a horse with a few years of honest effort behind it. Whether another victory is coming depends heavily on the weather forecast and which track the team choose next — but if the skies open and the trip to Wexford is on the cards, Watch The Weather is absolutely worth paying attention to.