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Lisnagar Fortune

Lisnagar Fortune is one of those horses that promised much more than it has delivered. An 8-year-old trained by John McConnell in Co Meath, it has won just 2 of its 14 races — a modest 14% win rate — and has not tasted victory for nearly three years. Yet there is a genuinely interesting story here, because both of those wins came at Punchestown, where the horse is a course specialist: 2 victories from 4 races at the track. That's a winning rate that tells you something about the relationship between horse and place.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
8 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Soldier Of Fortune
Mother
Asta Belle
Trainer
John McConnell
Owner
Miss Debbie McConnell
Official rating
116

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
14
Career races
2
Wins
14.3%
Win rate
avg ~10%
42.9%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
25 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

The first win arrived in April 2022, when Lisnagar Fortune was still relatively fresh and its career seemed full of possibility. The horse runs on at Punchestown in a way it simply hasn't managed elsewhere. Its second and most recent victory came on 14 January 2024, but since then it has been chasing form without catching it — six races without a win, with a pattern of mid-field finishes (11th, 8th, 8th, and 6th in its recent outings). At eight years old and still racing, Lisnagar Fortune is actively campaigned by McConnell's yard, which has been sending out winners steadily this season. Yet something about the horse's peak seems to have passed. It was designed on paper to excel — a half-brother to a top-class stayer, with pedigree suggesting it would relish distance — but consistency has eluded it. For now, it remains a horse defined by one track where it shines and a wider career where it has simply done the job often enough to keep running, but rarely well enough to win.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on soft ground: 1 wins from 4 starts (25%)
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on yielding ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Soft (muddy)
Loves
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Good (a little give)
Unknown
Good to yielding (mild give)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Yielding (slightly soft)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
Long Distance (2M+)
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, long straights
Loves
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
24 Sep
11th
Listowel
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 21 runners
4 Jul
DNF
Bellewstown
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 17 runners
8 Jun
8th
Roscommon
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding_To_Soft · 11 runners
8 Jun
8th
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 9 runners
2 May
DNF
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding_To_Soft · 45 runners
4 Apr
6th
Wexford
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 9 runners
3 Mar
2nd
Leopardstown
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 8 runners
15 Feb
8th
Gowran Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 11 runners
11 Jan
10th
Fairyhouse
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 13 runners
14 Jan
🏆 Won
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 23 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/3
Wins / rides
100%
Win rate
1/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Punchestown
Galloping
4 2 wins, 2 other 8 Jun 50%
Cork
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 third 26 Nov 0%
Fairyhouse
Galloping
1 1 other 11 Jan 0%
Bellewstown
Sharp
1 1 other 4 Jul 0%
Listowel
Sharp
1 1 other 24 Sep 0%
Leopardstown
Galloping
1 1 second 3 Mar 0%
Roscommon
Sharp
1 1 other 8 Jun 0%
Gowran Park
Undulating
1 1 other 15 Feb 0%
Tramore
Sharp
1 1 second 1 Jan 0%
Wexford
Sharp
1 1 other 4 Apr 0%