Warwick
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Stockton House Mares' Handicap Hurdle
Starts in
13h 11min
Turf track
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
The clear market favourite and the horse the editorial backs strongly — she has won two races in the past six days, which is a remarkable burst of form for any horse at this level. She carries the lowest official rating among the likely contenders and that gives her an advantage in this weighted race, and her jockey-trainer team have won together over 500 times. The one genuine worry is that normal conditions today are different from what she has been winning on — her record on similar ground reads zero wins from four attempts.
Best record on this ground (1 from 4)
Runs again after just 1 days
Market favourite (1.67)
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TrackLab Insight
Still searching for a first career win from seven races, but this is a horse that has finished second twice in its last three completed runs — it keeps placing without quite getting over the line. The editorial tips her as a genuine alternative to the favourite, and the jockey-trainer partnership here has clicked at a strong rate, winning 119 times from 535 races together. At 6.5, she is second in the market and represents the main value case if the favourite has any chinks.
2nd in the market (6.5)
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TrackLab Insight
This is the best win rate in the field — winning roughly 1 in every 4 races — and she has placed in nearly half her career outings, which paints the picture of a genuinely competitive horse. The concern is her last two runs, both heavy defeats beaten nearly 20 lengths or more, suggesting she may have gone off the boil since her win at Huntingdon three months ago. Warwick is a right-handed track and she has yet to win on that type of course from five attempts, which is a real flag here.
Best career win rate in field (1 in 4)
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TrackLab Insight
Racing again just three days after finishing 63 lengths adrift at Fakenham, this is the most unusual entry in the race — no horse in the field has turned around as quickly. With just one win from 22 career races and a record of zero wins on normal conditions, it is hard to make a case for her here. The quick turnaround and the thin form make this one to watch rather than back.
Runs again after just 3 days
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TrackLab Insight
She has the best record at this two-mile trip of anyone in the field — two wins from nine races over the distance — but she has not raced in over seven months, which is the longest absence of any runner here today. Coming back after that kind of break is always a question mark, even for a horse who clearly knows how to win. At 13.0 there is some interest if she bounces back fresh, but she is likely to need the run.
Best record at this trip (2 from 9)
Absent 228 days (longest in field)
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TrackLab Insight
The biggest outsider in the race at 15.0, and those odds are hard to argue with — she has won just once from 10 races and was beaten 22 lengths last time out at Ludlow. She does have a decent record on normal conditions, winning 1 from 6 on similar ground, but that was the bare minimum in a field like this. A new jockey takes the reins for the first time today, which adds another unknown.
Outsider at 15.0
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TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in the field by a distance — 34 races compared to a field average of 15 — but that experience has produced just one win, roughly 1 in every 34 outings. She pulled up last time out, her official rating is the lowest here by 13 points, and her jockey-trainer team have not won together in seven attempts. This is a horse carrying less weight than anyone else today, but even that significant advantage is unlikely to be enough against stronger rivals.
Lowest rated, 17lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
Most experienced (34 runs, field avg 15)
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The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.
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