Warwick
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Rainier Developments Handicap Chase
Starts in
12h 39min
Turf track
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite and the editorial tip, fresh off a win just seven days ago at Newton Abbot — so he comes here in the form of his life. Jockey Harry Skelton and trainer Dan Skelton are a formidable team, winning together roughly 1 in every 5 races they contest, and a horse in form suits them well. The only real question is whether running again after just a week, now carrying extra weight as a penalty for that win, catches up with him.
Runs again after just 7 days
Market favourite (2.7)
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TrackLab Insight
Second in the market at 5-1, and he ran here at Warwick just 25 days ago, going down by less than a length — so the track clearly suits and he arrives in decent nick. The concern is a record of just 1 win from 16 races, and that win did not come on the normal ground he will face today. His jockey and trainer have never won together in 10 attempts, which is a stat that is difficult to overlook.
2nd in the market (5.0)
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Good Value
TrackLab Insight
The least experienced horse in the field with just 8 races to his name, and crucially still waiting for his first win — a record of zero wins from eight attempts speaks for itself. He finished 5th here at Warwick 69 days ago, so the track is not unfamiliar, but recent form shows a horse trending in the wrong direction. At 5.5-1 the market seems to be pricing in some hope that this yard eventually clicks with him, but the evidence is thin.
Relatively inexperienced (8 career races)
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TrackLab Insight
The lowest-rated horse in the field, sitting 8lbs below the field average, and he carries the lightest weight today — a small advantage in a race where others are lugging more. He only broke his duck on his 13th race, winning at Fontwell 56 days ago, and followed that up with a third place back at Fontwell 20 days ago. The problem is he has never won on normal ground, and Warwick's course profile does not suit his past performances.
Lowest rated, 8lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
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TrackLab Insight
The only course winner in the field, having won here at Warwick before, which is always a meaningful edge when most rivals are running blind at a track. At ten years old he is the eldest in the race and has decent overall form, winning roughly 1 in every 6 races across his career. However, he was beaten 27 lengths here just two weeks ago, which tempers the course form angle considerably.
Only course winner (1 from 2 here)
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TrackLab Insight
The top-rated horse in the field by a clear 8lbs, and the only runner here with a winning record at this three-mile distance — which counts for a lot in a race like this. On normal ground she has won 3 from 6, which is comfortably her best surface, and her overall win rate of roughly 1 in 5 is the best in this field. The worry is her last two runs were poor, and those odds drifting badly from a tight opening price suggest her supporters are not confident.
Top rated by 8lbs
Only winner at this distance
Best record on this ground (3 from 6)
Best career win rate in field (1 in 5)
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TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in the field with 27 races under his belt, but his recent form makes it hard to get excited — he was beaten 30 lengths on his last run at Stratford 45 days ago. His best win rate comes at shorter distances than today's three miles, and he has never won on soft or wet ground. At 21-1 the market is largely saying thanks but no thanks.
One of the more successful in the field (3 career wins)
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How do odds work?
The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.
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