Warwick
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Insight Surveyors Handicap Hurdle
Starts in
11h 34min
Turf track
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
The clear favourite and the top-rated horse in this field by 3lbs, Tyson is fresh off a win just nine days ago and arrives in the kind of form that makes him hard to ignore — two wins from his last six races is a much sharper record than his overall career figures suggest. The main questions are whether normal ground suits him (he hasn't won on it in five attempts) and whether the extra distance over today's 3m2f will stretch him. Harry Skelton rides for his father-in-law Dan, a combination that has produced over 500 winners together, so the team is as strong as it gets.
Top rated by 3lbs
Market favourite (2.4)
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Good Value
TrackLab Insight
Spitalfield ran here at Warwick just 30 days ago and finished third, which makes him the only horse in the field with a recent run on this exact course — useful form to have in the book. He's wearing cheekpieces, a piece of equipment trainers use to sharpen a horse's focus, and he's the second-shortest price in the market at 5.6. One win from 24 career races is a modest record, but nearly half those races have ended in a placed finish, meaning he competes honestly even when he doesn't win.
2nd in the market (5.6)
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TrackLab Insight
The second-highest rated horse in the field at OR 105, Baltray is at least competitive on paper, but the evidence from the track is harder to get excited about — one win from 14 races, and his jockey has never won a race with this trainer in seven attempts together. A third-place finish last month at Newton Abbot is his best recent effort, though he was beaten seven lengths that day, which is respectable without being convincing.
2nd highest rated (OR 105)
Trainer Quotes
Nov 2023
"He was a bit light when he first arrived from Ireland so we gave him plenty of time and he showed the benefit of that when running a lovely race on his debut over hurdles at Fontwell. He didn't have to improve much to win at Hereford, which he did comfortably, and 112 is a tempting mark to go and run him in a handicap now. Ultimately I think he'd prefer a bit more cut in the ground and he'll jump a fence in time. 22-11-23"
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TrackLab Insight
Luna Run carries the lightest weight in the field, which in a handicap race is the system's way of giving a less-fancied horse a chance, but the data doesn't inspire confidence — she has never won on normal ground in 11 attempts, and finished sixth here at Warwick just 30 days ago. She's had wind surgery in the past, which can help horses breathe better and improve performance, but there's limited evidence of a significant step forward yet.
Carries lowest weight in field
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TrackLab Insight
Touchwoodexpress has the best win rate of any horse in this field — winning roughly 1 in every 6 races — and crucially, both of those wins have come on normal ground, which is exactly what's on offer today. The catch is significant: this horse hasn't raced for 193 days, the longest absence of anyone in the field, and horses returning from long breaks often need a run to blow away the cobwebs. Interesting at 14/1 if fit, but the layoff is a real unknown.
Best record on this ground (2 from 8)
Absent 193 days (longest in field)
Best career win rate in field (1 in 6)
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TrackLab Insight
At 16/1, Groom De Cotte is a big outsider, but he holds one important distinction nobody else in this field can claim: he is the only horse here who has already won at today's trip of 3m2f. That matters in a long-distance race where stamina is everything. The concern is a heavy defeat last time out — beaten over 90 lengths at Chepstow — though his record on normal ground is actually solid, with two wins from 14 races on that surface.
Only winner at this distance
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TrackLab Insight
The least experienced horse in the field with just six career races, Broadway Honey has yet to win any of them, finishing fifth here at Warwick just 25 days ago. At odds of 26/1 and rated 2lbs below the field average, there's little in the data to suggest a first win is imminent. This is a horse that is still learning its trade.
Relatively inexperienced (6 career races)
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TrackLab Insight
Hitthekettle is the lowest-rated horse in the field, sitting 14lbs below the field average — the widest gap of any runner here. Thirteen races into a career without a single win, and with two pulled-up efforts among his last four runs, it's difficult to find a reason to be optimistic. A first-time jockey-trainer combination with no wins together from their previous race together does nothing to change that picture.
Lowest rated, 14lbs below average
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TrackLab Insight
Walkinthecotswolds has pulled up in two of her last three races, including at Cartmel just 11 days ago, which makes it very hard to build a positive case here. One win from 17 career races and a string of non-completions recently suggest this horse is struggling, and at 34/1 the market agrees. The sole win on her record came in very wet, muddy conditions — very different to the normal ground she faces today.
Among the more experienced (17 career races)
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