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Baltray

Baltray is an 8-year-old who has spent the better part of three years trying to recapture the form that brought him his one and only win, a comfortable victory at Hereford back in November 2023. Since that day — now 31 months ago — he has run 6 more times without finding the winner's enclosure, though he has shown up to place on a handful of occasions. His overall record reads 1 win and 7 places from 15 races, which works out at roughly 1 win in every 15 outings. That is not a number that screams star quality, but it does not tell the whole story either.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
8 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Milan
Mother
Shapley Shadow
Owner
Mrs Sarah Metcalfe
Rating
105

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
15
Career races
1
Wins
6.7%
Win rate
avg ~10%
46.7%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

His trainer, Emma Lavelle, runs a busy and well-respected yard in Ogbourne Maizey in Wiltshire — 47 winners already on the board this season, which is a serious tally. When Baltray first arrived from Ireland, Lavelle noted he was carrying too little weight and needed time to develop before he could really show what he was capable of. That patience paid off when he ran a promising debut over hurdles at Fontwell, and he did not need to improve much on that to win at Hereford shortly afterwards. Lavelle has also suggested he is the kind of horse who wants a bit of cut in the ground — meaning he is better suited to wet or soft conditions than fast, dry going — and that jumping fences rather than hurdles is likely his future.

Most of his racing has come in Class 4 company, which sits in the middle of the racing ladder — not the prestige events, but not the very bottom either. He has won just 1 of his 11 races at that level, a 9% win rate. His recent form reads sixth, third, fifth, fifth, then second on the latest evidence, so he is knocking on the door without quite pushing it open. He raced just one day ago, which means he is very much a horse in active training with more chances ahead. Whether he can finally add a second win to his record — ideally on a soft, testing day somewhere — is the question his team will be hoping to answer soon.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good ground: 1 wins from 8 starts (12%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
Struggles on LH Sharp tracks: 0 wins from 9 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Loves
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Good to firm (drying out)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
Long Distance (2M+)
🏅 Competition Level
Class 4 (standard)
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Avoids
Left-handed, tight
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
3 Jun
6th
Warwick
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 9 runners
6 May
3rd
Newton Abbot
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 9 runners
9 Mar
5th
Plumpton
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft
9 Mar
5th
Plumpton
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 7 runners
10 Nov
DNF
Kempton Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 10 runners
6 Oct
2nd
Stratford-on-Avon
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 6 runners
1 Jul
6th
Stratford-on-Avon
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Firm · 9 runners
5 Jun
3rd
Uttoxeter
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 8 runners
11 Apr
DNF
Fontwell Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 5 runners
2 Dec
DNF
Plumpton
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 11 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Liam Harrison Current Jockey
0%
Win rate
0/4
Won / Rode
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
Cameron Johnstone-Baker
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Mr D Allen
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Joe Anderson
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Fontwell Park
Tight
3 2 seconds, 1 other 11 Apr 0%
Plumpton
Sharp
3 3 other 9 Mar 0%
Stratford-on-Avon
Sharp
2 1 second, 1 other 6 Oct 0%
hereford 1 1 win 6 Nov 100%
Uttoxeter
Sharp
1 1 third 5 Jun 0%
Kempton Park
Galloping
1 1 other 10 Nov 0%
Newton Abbot
Sharp
1 1 third 6 May 0%
Bangor-on-Dee
Sharp
1 1 other 29 Oct 0%
Warwick
Sharp
1 1 other 3 Jun 0%
Limerick
Galloping
1 1 third 28 Dec 0%