Flat race · weights set to make it fairUnderrated horse: Chantilly LaceAbout 1 mileStandard all-weather surfaceHigh-level race10 runners£15,702 prize money
Tapeta surface
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
Very strongStrongSolidCould surpriseLong shot
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+J. & Thady Gosden has a good 26.9% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
+J. & Thady Gosden has won 21.5% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
−J. & Thady Gosden wins only 26.9% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite at 9/4 has won both of his races but has never raced on normal ground—a significant unknown for a lightly raced three-year-old stepping up in class. His perfect record and backing from a top-tier training partnership are compelling, but the data on him is thin, and racing on an unfamiliar surface against older horses represents real risk.
Never raced on normal groundLightly raced (2 career races)Market favourite (9/4)
+Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
+Has an official rating of 94. This is a score from the official rater, and a higher number means a better horse. This horse is rated well.
−E. Bethell wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
An exceptional win rate of 50% across six races with a recent victory at Ripon just days ago shows genuine momentum, and he's never failed to place (3 wins, 5 top-3 finishes from 6 starts). He's dropping two classes and boasts a perfect record on good ground, but this is his first attempt at Class 2 and he's never raced on normal ground before.
+W. Haggas has won 19.7% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
+W. Haggas wins 19.7% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
−Today's ground is Standard, and that is not ideal. A horse on the wrong ground can run much worse.
TrackLab Insight
Carries the lightest weight and is dropping two classes, but he's only won once in seven races and finished third by a nose at Ascot 29 days ago, suggesting modest ability at best. Never raced on normal ground, and his struggles on right-handed galloping tracks (0 wins from 5) make Southwell's tapeta surface a real concern.
Carries lowest weight in fieldDrops 2 classes from usual levelNever raced on normal ground
+A 25% win rate at this course for R. Beckett. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
+R. Beckett wins 16.1% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
−The Standard ground does not suit this horse. The wrong ground can turn a contender into an also-ran.
TrackLab Insight
Top-rated by six pounds on 103, but there's real tension in her profile: she's only won once in six races and hasn't encountered normal ground before. A long absence (181 days) plus a poor record on right-handed galloping tracks (0 wins from 5) add weight to the doubt, though her class credentials in strong company suggest she's been racing above her rating.
+A 12.4% overall win rate for E. Greatrex. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
+I. Williams has won 11.6% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
−Today's ground is Standard, and that is not ideal. A horse on the wrong ground can run much worse.
TrackLab Insight
Winless from eight races with only one top-3 finish and a disastrous 17th place at York just weeks ago—this is a horse struggling to find form at any level. Never raced on normal ground either, so Southwell's tapeta surface remains unproven; everything about his recent pattern suggests he's not yet ready for this challenge.
+A 19.2% win rate at this course for G. Boughey. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
+Came home 1st last time out. A good recent run often carries over to the next race.
−The Standard ground does not suit this horse. The wrong ground can turn a contender into an also-ran.
TrackLab Insight
The standout win rate in the field at 57% (4 wins from 7) and recent victories on good ground, but he's been out for 177 days and an 11th-place finish at Ayr just 42 days ago signals that form may have regressed. Never raced on normal ground and that long absence raises questions about whether he can fire fresh at this level.
Never raced on normal groundBest career win rate in field (1 in 2)
+A 10.4% overall win rate for L. Edmunds. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
+H. Charlton wins 16.7% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
−This horse is not suited by Standard ground. The ground can change a horse's chances a lot.
TrackLab Insight
A course specialist with two wins from four starts at Southwell and a proven record over this exact distance, plus a superb 67% win rate on soft ground. However, he's the lowest-rated runner in the field by five pounds and has been out for 436 days—by far the longest absence in this race—making a return from such a long break a formidable ask.
Lowest rated, 5lbs below averageCourse specialist (2 wins from 4 here)Has won over this course and distanceBest record on this ground (1 from 4)
+F. Marsh has won 11.5% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
+Has won at this distance 1 time before. A horse that has shown it can last the trip is a plus.
−O. Cole has a 6.2% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Has won over this course and distance before and is dropping two classes, which are strong positives, but his record is merely solid (3 wins from 9 races) and he's never raced on normal ground. A 95-day absence and the jockey-trainer partnership showing no wins together from two races add to the uncertainty.
Drops 2 classes from usual levelHas won over this course and distance
+8 wins at this race length. Distance matters. If it is too short, the horse cannot use its staying power. If it is too long, the horse gets tired.
+With a 13.6% win rate overall, K. Stott is one of the more dependable riders.
−J. Portman has a 4.3% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Most experienced in the field with 51 races under his belt and a solid 18% win rate, but recent form is ragged—two middle-order finishes in his last three outings. He's proven on normal ground and won a Class 2 at Kempton on tapeta, yet his struggles on right-handed undulating tracks (0 wins from 5) and current inconsistency make him a concern despite the course experience.
+A low win rate on this ground from 5 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
+Has won over this distance 6 times. We know the horse can last this far, which removes one big question.
−Last raced 56 days ago. That is a normal gap between runs.
TrackLab Insight
Wins roughly one in every four races and has the best record at this trip (6 wins from 17), but his data carries a critical flaw: zero wins from five attempts on standard ground. He's a specialist on slower surfaces and at Kempton; today's conditions and unfamiliar track suit him poorly despite solid form at similar distances elsewhere.
Trainer K. Burke: wins 0% of runners (last 14 days)
Age 7, weight 9st 3lb, official rating 92
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shotScores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
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