Southwell
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Bettingsites.co.uk Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Stakes
Starts in
29h 49min
Tapeta surface
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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40%+ Very strong chance
20–39% Strong chance
12–19% Solid chance
6–11% Could surprise
Under 6% Long shot
How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance, as a percentage. The scores in a race add up to 100%.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in a place. It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.08 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- 1 run here without a win. That counts against the horse. The track layout may not suit it.
- Racing against weaker rivals than last time. Think of a Premier League team playing in the Championship. The drop in level helps.
- M. Gunn wins 6.6% of their races overall. That is below the average for professional jockeys.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.08 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Facing weaker rivals than last time out. When a horse drops to an easier race, it often finds things easier.
- J. Garritty has won 9.3% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
- Today's ground is Standard, and that is not ideal. A horse on the wrong ground can run much worse.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.08 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Dropped to an easier race today. It is like being the big fish in a smaller pond. The lower standard should suit.
- S. James wins 10.0% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- J. Camacho has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.08 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- No wins at this distance yet. We cannot tell if the race is too long, too short or just right.
- H. Bethell has won 15% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- This horse is not suited by Standard ground. The ground can change a horse's chances a lot.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.08 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Handles this ground well, with 20% of its races won on it. The ground can change a horse's chances a lot.
- There is £3,978 in prize money in this race. That attracts good horses, and this one looks to belong among them.
- P. Charalambous & J. Clutterbuck wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.08 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 9.0% overall win rate for R. Carr. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- 5 wins at this race length. Distance matters. If it is too short, the horse cannot use its staying power. If it is too long, the horse gets tired.
- R. Carr has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.08 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- B. Loughnane has won 16.3% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
- There is £3,978 in prize money in this race. That attracts good horses, and this one looks to belong among them.
- A 0% record at this course for D. Cunha. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.08 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 12.8% overall win rate for M. Bell. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- No wins at this distance yet. We cannot tell if the race is too long, too short or just right.
- Its average finish over the last three races is 3. That is too far back. Its results have not been steady lately.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.08 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Racing against weaker rivals than last time. Think of a Premier League team playing in the Championship. The drop in level helps.
- A 9.8% overall win rate for G. Wood. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
- A 6.7% record at this course for J. Macey. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.08 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 9 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- Facing weaker rivals than last time out. When a horse drops to an easier race, it often finds things easier.
- Has won 2 times over this distance. That is a good sign the race length suits the horse.