Southwell
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31h 19min
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Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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40%+ Very strong chance
20–39% Strong chance
12–19% Solid chance
6–11% Could surprise
Under 6% Long shot
How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance, as a percentage. The scores in a race add up to 100%.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in a place. It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
Why this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- J. Tate has a good 25.5% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
- 14 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
Why this score
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 6 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- Has not won at this distance before. We do not know if the race length suits the horse.
- A 14-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
Why this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- Facing weaker rivals than last time out. When a horse drops to an easier race, it often finds things easier.
- A 6.7% record at this course for J. Macey. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Why this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- J. Camacho wins 10.1% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- J. Camacho has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Why this score
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 4 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- Facing weaker rivals than last time out. When a horse drops to an easier race, it often finds things easier.
- A 14-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
Why this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- A 12.0% overall win rate for D. O'Meara. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- This is a 14-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
Why this score
- Racing against weaker rivals than last time. Think of a Premier League team playing in the Championship. The drop in level helps.
- J. Hart wins 12.8% of their races at this course. Knowing the track is an advantage for any jockey.
- S. Hodgson has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Why this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- Dropped to an easier race today. It is like being the big fish in a smaller pond. The lower standard should suit.
- Only 9th last time out. That is not what we want to see before today's race.
Why this score
- D. Keenan wins 8.2% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- Dropped to an easier race today. It is like being the big fish in a smaller pond. The lower standard should suit.
- This is a 14-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
Why this score
- A prize fund of £3,245 is healthy. When trainers aim at valuable races, they usually have faith in their runner.
- R. Spencer has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Why this score
- With a 12.4% win rate overall, E. Greatrex is one of the more dependable riders.
- Recent results are getting better. The horse is finishing higher up. A horse that is improving often keeps improving.
- With an average finish of 5 lately, recent results are poor. This horse needs to improve.
Why this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- Its average finish over the last three runs is 4. That is steady. Horses that finish near the front often do so again.
- This is a 14-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
Why this score
- Its average finish over the last three runs is 5. That is steady. Horses that finish near the front often do so again.
- 3 runs here without a win. That counts against the horse. The track layout may not suit it.
- 14 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
Why this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- A 19.8% overall win rate for S. Mark Prescott Bt. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- 14 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.