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30h 49min
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Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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40%+ Very strong chance
20–39% Strong chance
12–19% Solid chance
6–11% Could surprise
Under 6% Long shot
How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance, as a percentage. The scores in a race add up to 100%.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in a place. It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
Why this score
- A 28.6% win rate at this course for S. bin Suroor. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- Today's ground is Standard, and that is not ideal. A horse on the wrong ground can run much worse.
Why this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- A. Balding has won 14.4% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- An 11-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
Why this score
- W. Greatrex wins 14.3% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- W. Greatrex wins 17.9% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
- The Standard ground does not suit this horse. The wrong ground can turn a contender into an also-ran.
Why this score
- E. Dunlop wins 25% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
- E. Dunlop wins 11.7% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- Only 9th last time out. That is not what we want to see before today's race.
Why this score
- Handles this ground well, with 36% of its races won on it. The ground can change a horse's chances a lot.
- With an 8.7% win rate overall, P. Bradley is one of the more dependable riders.
- This horse is not suited by Standard ground. The ground can change a horse's chances a lot.
Why this score
- Facing weaker rivals than last time out. When a horse drops to an easier race, it often finds things easier.
- Has raced here 1 time without winning. This course has not suited the horse so far.
- A 1m race raises questions. If it is too long or too short for the horse, that hurts its chances.
Why this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- With £5,234 in prize money, this is a competitive race. The horse has been entered for a reason.
- A 0% record at this course for E. Bethell. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Why this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- 43 days since the last run. That is a usual break, so there is nothing to read into it.
- This is a 3yo+ race, and the entry rules are not a natural fit. Sometimes horses end up in races that do not quite suit them.
Why this score
- S. & Ed Crisford has a good 18.4% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
- Has won at this distance 1 time before. A horse that has shown it can last the trip is a plus.
- Today's ground is Standard, and that is not ideal. A horse on the wrong ground can run much worse.
Why this score
- Has won 3 times over this distance. That is a good sign the race length suits the horse.
- This horse runs well on today's ground, with a 33% win rate from 6 runs. The ground makes a big difference in racing.
- K. & Lauren Frost wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Why this score
- A prize fund of £5,234 is healthy. When trainers aim at valuable races, they usually have faith in their runner.
- A 2.8% record at this course for J. Ramsden. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.