Southwell
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Bettingsites.co.uk Handicap Stakes
Starts in
31h 56min
Tapeta surface
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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40%+ Very strong chance
20–39% Strong chance
12–19% Solid chance
6–11% Could surprise
Under 6% Long shot
How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance, as a percentage. The scores in a race add up to 100%.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in a place. It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
Why this score
- A low win rate on this ground from 4 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
- J. Hart wins 12.8% of their races at this course. Knowing the track is an advantage for any jockey.
- I. Furtado wins only 9.4% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Why this score
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 4 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- B. Loughnane wins 16.3% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- A 13.4% record at this course for B. Loughnane. Some jockeys just do not do well at some courses.
Why this score
- Has raced 29 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
- An 8.2% overall win rate for D. Keenan. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
- A low win rate on this ground from 29 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
Why this score
- A low win rate on this ground from 3 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
- A 100% win rate at this course for J. Dawson. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
- Has had 27 days off since its last race. That is a routine gap that should not help or hurt.
Why this score
- An average finish of 2.7 over the last three races. Finishing near the front this often is a good sign.
- There is £3,245 in prize money in this race. That attracts good horses, and this one looks to belong among them.
- A 7.4% record at this course for T. Forbes. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Why this score
- Racing against weaker rivals than last time. Think of a Premier League team playing in the Championship. The drop in level helps.
- A 12.3% overall win rate for T. Vaughan. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- T. Vaughan wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Why this score
- This horse runs well on today's ground, with a 20% win rate from 10 runs. The ground makes a big difference in racing.
- Racing against weaker rivals than last time. Think of a Premier League team playing in the Championship. The drop in level helps.
- P. Morris has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Why this score
- A 10.3% overall win rate for L. Morris. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
- An 18.8% overall win rate for O. Murphy. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- A low win rate on this ground from 32 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
Why this score
- Facing weaker rivals than last time out. When a horse drops to an easier race, it often finds things easier.
- A 9-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
- A 0% record at this course for R. Carr. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.