Nottingham
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Nottingham Handicap Stakes
Starts in
7h 30min
Turf track
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
Our top pick for this race, rated five pounds clear of most rivals on our figures — yet she has never actually won in six career races, which is the uncomfortable truth here. Her odds have drifted sharply from where she opened, suggesting punters have reservations, and a jockey-trainer combination that has yet to click in four attempts together does nothing to ease those concerns. She arrives fresh enough after 16 days off, but needs to find a first win soon or questions will mount.
Market favourite (2.8)
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Good Value
TrackLab Insight
The best career win rate in this field — winning roughly one in every eight races — and arrives in decent nick after finishing second and third in his last two outings. The big concern is his record on dry ground like today: zero wins from seven attempts on this type of surface, which is a significant red flag given conditions here. He and Ablon are rated level on our figures, making him the most obvious danger to the favourite if he can overcome that ground issue.
Best career win rate in field (1 in 8)
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TrackLab Insight
The one horse in this field who has already won here at Nottingham — and he did it just 14 days ago, making him the most course-relevant runner by some distance. That kind of recent course form is hard to dismiss, and dry conditions match his best efforts on similar ground. The catch is a new jockey who has never ridden him before, which always introduces a small unknown.
Only course winner (1 from 1 here)
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TrackLab Insight
Carries the lightest weight in the field, which gives a small practical advantage, but the record is thin: no wins from just four career races. A narrow second place at Lingfield three weeks ago shows he can get competitive, though he also finished tenth here at Nottingham just two months ago on this same course. There is not enough data to judge him fully, and with only four races to his name, he remains a largely unknown quantity.
Carries lowest weight in field
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TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in this field with 31 career races, and crucially the only one who has actually won at this distance — though that record of one win from 13 attempts at the trip is a reminder that it does not come easily. His last run was a distant ninth at Leicester 40 days ago, which is hard to ignore, but his best form has come on dry ground and today's conditions suit. A huge drift in the market tells you the betting public is not convinced.
Only winner at this distance
Best record on this ground (1 from 5)
Best record at this trip (1 from 13)
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TrackLab Insight
Back on the track after just four days, which stands out immediately — and his last run ended 71 lengths behind the winner, so the quick return raises questions rather than confidence. He has never won on dry ground in nine career attempts on this type of surface, making today's conditions a further obstacle. Despite a reasonable overall win rate of roughly one in eight, the evidence here points firmly against him.
Runs again after just 4 days
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Your pick
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Win (they finish 1st)
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£5
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How do odds work?
The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.
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