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Caelan

Three wins from 24 races across a career might not sound like the stuff of legends, but Caelan is a horse that quietly keeps showing up — and occasionally delivering something worth remembering. The five-year-old has placed in 9 of those 24 races, meaning it has been competitive in half its outings overall. That combination of wins and near-misses suggests a horse that is consistently in the mix without quite being able to land the knockout blow.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Tamayuz
Mother
Fou Rire
Owner
Fitorfat Racing Partner
Rating
67

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
24
Career races
3
Wins
12.5%
Win rate
avg ~10%
37.5%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

Trained by Olly Murphy out of Wilmcote in Warwickshire, Caelan is in good hands. Murphy's yard has fired out 146 winners already this season — that is a serious training operation with depth and momentum, the kind of team that knows how to keep a horse improving. Sean Bowen is the jockey most associated with Caelan, and their partnership tells an interesting story: one win from five rides together, a 20% win rate. That means Bowen wins roughly 1 in every 5 times he climbs aboard — comfortably better than the horse's overall career average of 1 in every 8 races.

Where Caelan looks most at home is over the longer distances — anything over two miles. Two wins from four races at that trip, a 50% win rate, is a striking number. For context, that is a far cry from the 18% win rate the horse manages at its most common class level, where it has won just 2 from 11. The longer the race, the more Caelan seems to come alive. It is worth keeping that in mind.

The most recent win came at Worcester in September 2025 — about 10 months ago now — and Caelan has not won in the six races since. The recent form reads 4-4-blank-4-2-3, which tells you the horse is finishing in the places but not finding that extra gear. Crucially, though, Caelan raced just yesterday and is clearly an active, fit horse still being campaigned with intent by a yard that does not waste entries.

The career started at Kempton Park in August 2023, and the journey since has been steady rather than spectacular. But a horse with those long-distance numbers, a top jockey on board, and a powerhouse training operation behind it is not one to write off. The win drought will end at some point — and when it does, it will probably be over a trip that tests the stamina of everything around it.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Well suited by 1m1f – 1m2f distances: 20% win rate
Well suited by Long Distance (2m+) distances: 25% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 9 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard (all-weather)
Good to firm (drying out)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Good (firm-ish)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M1F – 1M2F
Loves
Long Distance (2M+)
Loves
7F – 1M
Unknown
1M3F – 1M4F
Avoids
1M6F – 2M
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Class 5 (entry-level)
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Right-handed, long straights
Long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
18 Jul
4th
Nottingham
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 6 runners
14 Jul
4th
Ffos Las
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 5 runners
28 Jun
DNF
Uttoxeter
1m6f – 2m · Good · 4 runners
15 May
4th
Aintree
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 10 runners
21 Apr
2nd
Ffos Las
1m6f – 2m · Good · 8 runners
22 Dec
3rd
Huntingdon
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Soft · 7 runners
5 Dec
6th
Sandown Park
1m6f – 2m · Soft · 11 runners
11 Nov
2nd
Huntingdon
1m6f – 2m · Good · 8 runners
15 Oct
5th
Wetherby
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 5 runners
15 Sep
🏆 Won
Worcester
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 15 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
20%
Win rate
1/5
Won / Rode
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
Stefano Cherchi
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Tom Hutsby(10)
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Luke Catton
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Wolverhampton
Galloping
4 1 win, 1 third, 2 other 24 Mar 25%
Newmarket
Galloping
2 2 other 18 May 0%
Uttoxeter
Sharp
2 2 other 28 Jun 0%
Southwell
Galloping
2 2 other 4 Mar 0%
Huntingdon
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 third 22 Dec 0%
Ffos Las
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 14 Jul 0%
Worcester
Galloping
1 1 win 15 Sep 100%
Kempton Park
Galloping
1 1 win 14 Aug 100%
Aintree
Galloping
1 1 other 15 May 0%
chelmsford 1 1 other 24 Apr 0%
Nottingham
Galloping
1 1 other 18 Jul 0%
Stratford-on-Avon
Sharp
1 1 other 6 Sep 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 third 24 Mar 0%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
1 1 other 7 Feb 0%
Wetherby
Galloping
1 1 other 15 Oct 0%
Sandown Park
Galloping
1 1 other 5 Dec 0%