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Caelan

Caelan is a 5-year-old that has shown enough promise to win three times in a 25-race career, but lately the wins have dried up. The horse has not tasted victory in six consecutive races, with a recent run of fourth, fourth, second, fourth, and a break in between stretching back weeks. That pattern—close calls mixed with disappointing days—tells the story of a horse operating at the limits of its ability, finding it harder to convert chances into wins as the races come thick and fast.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Tamayuz
Mother
Fou Rire
Owner
Yen Hall Farm Racing
Official rating
108

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
25
Career races
3
Wins
12%
Win rate
avg ~10%
40%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
1 day
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

The brightest moment came in September 2025 at Worcester, when Caelan last crossed the line first. Before that, the first win arrived at Kempton Park back in August 2023, over two years ago. The gap between victories suggests inconsistency, though the horse does have 10 top-3 finishes alongside those three wins, meaning it regularly runs into the frame even when it does not win. Sarah Humphrey's West Wratting yard has kept Caelan busy and competitive, which speaks to the trainer's belief in the horse despite the recent drought.

The data hints at what Caelan does best: it wins roughly 1 in every 5 races (20%) at distances between 1m1f and 1m2f, and performs at 18% win rate (2 wins from 11) in Class 4 company. When Sean Bowen, its most regular jockey, rides it, the partnership has won once from five outings—a 20% rate. These specifics matter because they show Caelan is not hopeless; it simply needs the right conditions and race type to shine. Right now, though, a winning return feels overdue.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Well suited by 1m1f – 1m2f distances: 20% win rate
✔ Well suited by Long Distance (2m+) distances: 20% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 10 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Standard (all-weather)
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Good (a little give)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
1M1F – 1M2F
Loves
Long Distance (2M+)
Loves
7F – 1M
Unknown
1M3F – 1M4F
Avoids
1M6F – 2M
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Loves
Class 5 (entry-level)
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Right-handed, long straights
Long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
17 Oct
3rd
Market Rasen
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 6 runners
18 Jul
4th
Nottingham
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 6 runners
14 Jul
4th
Ffos Las
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 5 runners
28 Jun
DNF
Uttoxeter
1m6f – 2m · Good · 4 runners
15 May
4th
Aintree
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 10 runners
21 Apr
2nd
Ffos Las
1m6f – 2m · Good · 8 runners
22 Dec
3rd
Huntingdon
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Soft · 7 runners
5 Dec
6th
Sandown Park
1m6f – 2m · Soft · 11 runners
11 Nov
2nd
Huntingdon
1m6f – 2m · Good · 8 runners
15 Oct
5th
Wetherby
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 5 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
20%
Win rate
1/5
Wins / rides
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/3
Wins / rides
Stefano Cherchi
50%
Win rate
1/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
Tom Hutsby(10)
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
Luke Catton
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Wolverhampton
Galloping
4 1 win, 1 third, 2 other 24 Mar 25%
Newmarket
Galloping
2 2 other 18 May 0%
Southwell
Galloping
2 2 other 4 Mar 0%
Uttoxeter
Sharp
2 2 other 28 Jun 0%
Huntingdon
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 third 22 Dec 0%
Ffos Las
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 14 Jul 0%
Kempton Park
Galloping
1 1 win 14 Aug 100%
Worcester
Galloping
1 1 win 15 Sep 100%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
1 1 other 7 Feb 0%
chelmsford 1 1 other 24 Apr 0%
Market Rasen
Sharp
1 1 third 17 Oct 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 third 24 Mar 0%
Stratford-on-Avon
Sharp
1 1 other 6 Sep 0%
Sandown Park
Galloping
1 1 other 5 Dec 0%
Wetherby
Galloping
1 1 other 15 Oct 0%
Aintree
Galloping
1 1 other 15 May 0%
Nottingham
Galloping
1 1 other 18 Jul 0%