Newbury
·
Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (Div II) (GBB Race)
Starts in
25h 16min
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- With a 12.0% win rate overall, J. Burke is one of the more dependable riders.
- A. Honeyball wins 14% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
- The official rating suggests this horse has work to do. Lower-rated horses need to improve to win.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- E. Lavelle wins 13.5% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- A 13.5% overall win rate for E. Lavelle. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- E. Lavelle has a 7.5% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 21.9% overall win rate for N. Henderson. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- N. de Boinville has not had many recent rides, so there is little recent form to go on.
- The trainer's horses do not always finish their races. That raises questions about fitness and preparation.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 20% win rate at this course for D. Horsford. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
- D. Horsford has won 13.1% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- The official rating suggests this horse has work to do. Lower-rated horses need to improve to win.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- L. Wadham wins 14.5% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- With a 19.2% win rate overall, S. Bowen is one of the more dependable riders.
- L. Wadham has a 7.6% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- D. Skelton wins 18.7% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- D. Skelton has won 18.7% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- The trainer's horses do not always finish their races. That raises questions about fitness and preparation.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Today's ground is Good To Soft, and that suits this horse. Like athletes who prefer one type of surface, horses have favourite ground.
- T. Bellamy wins 11.8% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- S. Lewis has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 21% overall win rate for H. Derham. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- P. O'Brien wins 12.8% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- Not rated highly by the official rater. The rating reflects what the horse has done so far, and it is modest.
£1 wins 10p · 9 Could surprise
P. Nicholls has won 22.7% of their races in their career
9
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- P. Nicholls has won 22.7% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- With a 15.9% win rate overall, S. Twiston-Davies is one of the more dependable riders.
- This trainer's horses often do not finish their races. That makes them harder to trust.
10
Vernon
£1 wins 10p · 9 Could surprise
A 22.2% win rate at this course for P. Hobbs & Johnson White
9
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 22.2% win rate at this course for P. Hobbs & Johnson White. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
- S. Houlihan has won 6.3% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
- The official rating suggests this horse has work to do. Lower-rated horses need to improve to win.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- B. Pauling wins 15.2% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- A 15.7% overall win rate for B. Jones. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
- B. Pauling has a 14.1% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.