Newbury
·
British Horse Society Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (Div I) (GBB Race)
Starts in
24h 44min
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 21.9% overall win rate for N. Henderson. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- A 20.2% win rate at this course for N. Henderson. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
- This trainer's horses often do not finish their races. That makes them harder to trust.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- There is £3,812 in prize money in this race. That attracts good horses, and this one looks to belong among them.
- The Good To Soft ground works in this horse's favour. The ground makes a big difference in racing, and today it helps.
- A 7.1% record at this course for O. Signy. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- With an 11.8% win rate overall, T. Bellamy is one of the more dependable riders.
- The Good To Soft ground works in this horse's favour. The ground makes a big difference in racing, and today it helps.
- S. Hosie has a 5.9% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 20.1% overall win rate for H. Fry. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- Today's ground is Good To Soft, and that suits this horse. Like athletes who prefer one type of surface, horses have favourite ground.
- The official rating suggests this horse has work to do. Lower-rated horses need to improve to win.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- S. Bowen wins 19.2% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- A 14.3% overall win rate for W. Greatrex. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- W. Greatrex wins only 11.2% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- D. Skelton wins 18.7% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- An 18.7% overall win rate for D. Skelton. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- This trainer's horses often do not finish their races. That makes them harder to trust.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 33.3% win rate at this course for C. Honour. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
- A 12.0% overall win rate for J. Burke. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
- The fences are a worry. A horse that jumps badly wastes energy and can fall behind.
9
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- P. Hobbs & Johnson White has a good 22.2% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
- S. Houlihan wins 6.3% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- Not rated highly by the official rater. The rating reflects what the horse has done so far, and it is modest.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 7.8% overall win rate for J. O'Shea. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- With a 13.0% win rate overall, C. Deutsch is one of the more dependable riders.
- J. O'Shea has a 2.8% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- J. Quinlan wins 10.0% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- N. King wins 11.3% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- N. King wins only 8.4% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- P. Nicholls wins 22.7% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- With a 15.9% win rate overall, S. Twiston-Davies is one of the more dependable riders.
- This trainer's horses often do not finish their races. That makes them harder to trust.
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.