Newbury
·
Grahame Church Memorial Mares' Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)
Starts in
23h 3min
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
18+ | Gamble responsibly: BeGambleAware.org Ad: we earn commission if you join a bookmaker via our links.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- A 42.9% win rate at this course for K. Bailey & Mat Nicholls. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
- Stepping up to a harder race today. As with any step up, the question is whether the horse is good enough for this level.
11
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- D. Skelton wins 18.7% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- Not rated highly by the official rater. The rating reflects what the horse has done so far, and it is modest.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 33% win rate on this ground from 3 runs. Just like people, horses have favourite surfaces. This one likes today's ground.
- Came home 2nd last time out. A good recent run often carries over to the next race.
- Up against stronger rivals than before. Moving up to a harder race tests whether a horse is improving.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 21.9% overall win rate for N. Henderson. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- A 21.9% overall win rate for N. Henderson. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- The trainer's horses do not always finish their races. That raises questions about fitness and preparation.
£1 wins 10p · 10 Could surprise
Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice
10
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- The Good To Soft ground works in this horse's favour. The ground makes a big difference in racing, and today it helps.
- Only 17th last time out. That is not what we want to see before today's race.
£1 wins 10p · 10 Could surprise
A 22.2% win rate at this course for P. Hobbs & Johnson White
10
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 22.2% win rate at this course for P. Hobbs & Johnson White. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
- P. Hobbs & Johnson White wins 15.2% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- This trainer's horses often do not finish their races. That makes them harder to trust.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has yet to win over this distance. It is like asking a sprinter to run a marathon. Distance matters, and this horse has not shown it can win here.
- Finished 1st in the last race, which is a good result. A good last run suggests the horse is in good shape.
- B. Clarke wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- T. Ellis wins 20% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
- T. Ellis has won 15.6% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- Not rated highly by the official rater. The rating reflects what the horse has done so far, and it is modest.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- N. King has won 11.3% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- J. Quinlan wins 10.0% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- Stepping up to a harder race today. As with any step up, the question is whether the horse is good enough for this level.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This horse is happy on Good To Soft ground. When the ground suits, a horse can run to its best.
- A 2.0% win rate at this course for R. McLernon. Jockeys who know a track well can pick the best ground and time their run.
- G. Brown has a 6.8% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.