Newbury
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Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)
Awaiting result
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Came home 1st last time out. A good recent run often carries over to the next race.
- K. Shoemark wins 11.8% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- The trainer's horses do not always finish their races. That raises questions about fitness and preparation.
TrackLab Insight
Just won at Haydock 49 days ago and is suited by this trip (33% win rate at 1m3f–1m4f), so timing looks promising for a horse with a 20% career win rate. The concern: he has zero wins from three races on standard ground, and Newbury on wet turf will play differently than his successful galloping-track profile.
Among the more experienced (10 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- T. Ellis has a good 20% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
- Finishing 1st last time is encouraging. A horse that finishes well is usually in good shape.
- The fences are a worry. A horse that jumps badly wastes energy and can fall behind.
TrackLab Insight
Has never raced on wet ground, a significant concern on a day like this, and has won just one race from six attempts. He did break through at Southwell on standard ground 17 days ago, but that was on a different surface and at a different course — he's stepping into unfamiliar territory here.
Never raced on wet ground
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has raced here 1 time without winning. This course has not suited the horse so far.
- S. Levey has won 11.6% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
- The trainer's horses do not always finish their races. That raises questions about fitness and preparation.
TrackLab Insight
Lowest rated in the field by 10lbs and has never raced on wet ground, both serious negatives. He won narrowly at Kempton just 16 days ago but hasn't won on standard ground, and his form at Newbury (8th most recently) and on similar tracks suggests he'll struggle with wet conditions and the track's layout.
Lowest rated, 10lbs below average
Never raced on wet ground
Best record at this trip (2 from 5)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- H. Morrison wins 12.6% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- Has run 1 time at this track with no wins yet. Some horses do not take to some courses.
- This is a 12-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Best win rate in the field at 40% (2 from 5 races) and carries the lowest weight, but she's never raced on wet ground and that's a critical gap in her profile. She won at Pontefract 29 days ago but was well beaten at Leicester after that — form is inconsistent and the ground here will be a test of whether she can adapt.
Carries lowest weight in field
Never raced on wet ground
Best career win rate in field (1 in 2)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- 1 run here without a win. That counts against the horse. The track layout may not suit it.
- J. Portman has a 7% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Most experienced horse in the field with 21 races under his belt, but that experience hasn't translated to recent wins — he's gone 14 months without victory despite regular racing. He handles wet ground well (20% win rate on soft/muddy conditions) and showed promise with a second-place finish here just 34 days ago, but drew poorly in stall 7 and was beaten decisively at York last time out.
Most experienced (21 runs, field avg 10)
Market favourite (1/10)
Unfancied in the market despite a high rating
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- B. Brennan wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Five-year-old with a decent 20% career win rate but patchy recent form — three runs without a top-three finish, including two consecutive sixths. He's been off the track for 50 days, which is a long absence at this level, and this jockey-trainer pairing has never won together.
Unfancied in the market despite a high rating
8
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- C. Pike has a good 20% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
- Facing tougher rivals than last time. It is like moving up to a harder league. The step up is a challenge.
TrackLab Insight
The only course winner in the field (1 from 2 here) and drops down two classes from her usual level, a significant advantage. Recent form is mixed though — fourth here 35 days ago, then second at Salisbury — and she hasn't found the winner's enclosure since those two earlier Newbury victories.
Drops 2 classes from usual level
Only course winner (1 from 2 here)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- W. Greatrex wins 14.3% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- This is a 12-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Three career wins puts him among the more successful horses here, with a 21% win rate, and he's ideally suited by this trip (50% win rate over 1m3f–1m4f distances). However, he was well beaten in eighth at Kempton just 23 days ago and has never won on standard ground, which raises questions given how the track will be riding today.
One of the more successful in the field (3 career wins)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has run 1 time at this track with no wins yet. Some horses do not take to some courses.
- L. Edmunds wins 10.3% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- H. Charlton wins only 7.9% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Top-rated by 4lbs and the youngest horse in the field at just 3 years old, Besieged showed promise with three straight top-3 finishes — including a win at Salisbury 136 days ago. But he's been absent for 43 days and returned to finish 11th at Doncaster, raising doubts about whether that early form will travel up in class.
Top rated by 4lbs
3 straight top-3 finishes
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- With an average finish of 3.3 in recent runs, this horse keeps finishing close to the front. It would not need much luck to win.
- A 0% career win rate for J. Moore & Josh Moore. That is below the top trainers.
TrackLab Insight
One of the more successful in the field with four career wins (22% win rate) and suits this distance well (43% win rate over 1m3f–1m4f), but recent form is unconvincing — second at Plumpton was beaten by 17 lengths and his last win came 128 days ago. This is also the jockey's first ride for these trainers.
One of the more successful in the field (4 career wins)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- An official rating of 83 is in this horse's favour. The rating comes from results, and this horse's number looks good.
- D. Loughnane has a 2.9% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Relatively inexperienced at just six career races and only 17% win rate, Oratorical hasn't raced for 54 days and his last two runs before that were well beaten (10th and 6th). He's a 3-year-old still searching for his level, and this looks a tough spot.
Relatively inexperienced (6 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 13.3% overall win rate for T. Marquand. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
- Has run 2 times at this track with no wins yet. Some horses do not take to some courses.
- W. Muir & Chris Grassick wins only 4.9% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Never raced on wet ground, which is a genuine unknown here — all nine of his career races have come on quicker surfaces. He has four top-three finishes and two second-place finishes in his last six, suggesting he's knocking on the door for a maiden win, but this step up in both conditions and distance adds risk.
Never raced on wet ground
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.