Newbury
·
Ebf Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)
Awaiting result
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A. Balding wins 14.4% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- With a 10.3% win rate overall, R. Hornby is one of the more dependable riders.
- 13 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Making his racecourse debut with no form to assess, but comes from Andrew Balding's yard which has already sent out 202 winners this season — a sign the trainer backs his horses carefully. The low draw (1) offers a statistical edge on this course, and he carries sprint pedigree through Muhaarar that should suit the 1-mile distance on wet ground.
Racecourse debut
Market favourite (1/10)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- G. Baker wins 11.7% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- Finished 3rd in the last race, which is a good result. A good last run suggests the horse is in good shape.
- G. Baker has a 5% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Has raced twice without winning but showed some improvement with a third-place finish just 18 days ago, after a fourth the time before — the form line is trending the right way. The draw (13) is unfavourable on this course, and crucially, he has never raced on wet ground, which adds a question mark for today's conditions.
Never raced on wet ground
Lightly raced (2 career races)
Unfancied in the market despite a high rating
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 14.4% overall win rate for A. Balding. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- Ran well last time out. A good recent run often carries over to the next race.
- A 13-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Racecourse debut from a Balding yard (202 winners already this season) with a favourable low draw (4). The pedigree through Sixties Icon and Dark Angel suggests a horse bred to handle racecourse pressure, though pedigree alone tells you nothing about what happens when the gates spring open.
Racecourse debut
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 19.6% win rate at this course for W. Haggas. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
- W. Haggas has won 19.7% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- 13 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
One race in the bag, finishing seventh — a typical early experience for a young horse, but nothing yet to suggest he's progressing. The unfavourable mid-draw (9) and the fact he's never raced on wet ground are both concerns for today's conditions.
Never raced on wet ground
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- With a 13.3% win rate overall, T. Marquand is one of the more dependable riders.
- W. Haggas wins 19.7% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- This is a 13-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Stepping onto the racecourse for the first time with no prior form. He carries solid bloodlines through Australia and Acclamation, and the Haggas-Marquand pairing has a strong record together (288 wins from 1343 races), but a debut remains entirely unpredictable.
Racecourse debut
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 10.9% overall win rate for B. Meehan. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- C. Bishop wins 9.9% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- This is a 13-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
A debut runner with the draw advantage (6 is a low number). No form to assess and limited synergy between the jockey-trainer combination (3 wins from 12 races), so this is a horse arriving at the track with very little advance knowledge to go on.
Racecourse debut
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- H. Morrison wins 12.6% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- With an 11.4% win rate overall, D. Probert is one of the more dependable riders.
- 13 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Debuting with an impressive pedigree through Sea The Stars (an Arc winner and prolific sire) crossed with a Fastnet Rock mare — bloodlines that combine speed with durability. The low draw (5) offers a statistical edge, but this remains an unknown quantity on the racecourse.
Racecourse debut
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- H. Crouch wins 14.1% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- R. Beckett wins 16.1% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- This is a 13-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Racecourse debut from Ralph Beckett's yard, which has already sent out 107 winners this season — a sign of a trainer in form. The pedigree through New Bay and a Sea The Stars mare is solid, but the mid draw (11) offers no particular advantage and he arrives as an unknown.
Racecourse debut
8
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- H. Morrison has won 12.6% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- With a 10.3% win rate overall, L. Edmunds is one of the more dependable riders.
- This is a 13-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Making his racecourse debut with pedigree to watch: Zoustar (a proven sire of quick, durable runners) out of a Red Ransom mare known for toughness. The low draw (3) offers a statistical edge, though the jockey-trainer combination has no winners from 13 races together, which is a concern.
Racecourse debut
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- An 8.0% overall win rate for J. Portman. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- O. Tubb wins 26.7% of their races at this course. Knowing the track is an advantage for any jockey.
- J. Portman wins only 7% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
One race in, finished eighth — a common result for a horse stepping onto the track for the first time and still learning. The unfavourable draw (8, mid-range) and lack of experience on wet ground are both concerns heading into this step-up in competition.
Never raced on wet ground
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 12.6% overall win rate for H. Morrison. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- S. James wins 10.0% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- 13 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Making his racecourse debut with bloodlines through Ghaiyyath (a high-level runner now siring useful types) and Dutch Art — a pedigree that typically produces honest, sound racehorses. The mid draw (10) is neutral, but he arrives as a complete unknown on the track.
Racecourse debut
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- J. Boyle has won 9.9% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- K. Shoemark has won 11.8% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
- J. Boyle wins only 7.6% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
One race from 112 days ago, finishing seventh — the longest absence in this field raises questions about readiness after such a layoff. He's never encountered wet ground and carries an unfavourable low draw (2), both of which add uncertainty to his prospects today.
Never raced on wet ground
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Absent 112 days (longest in field)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- With an 11.6% win rate overall, S. Levey is one of the more dependable riders.
- A 12.3% overall win rate for R. Hannon. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- 13 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Two races in with one place finish and zero wins — the recent form shows a third-place effort from yesterday followed by a tenth before that, which is mixed signals. The data description calls this a debut despite two races recorded, creating uncertainty about what form to trust, though the low draw (7) is a small positive.
Racecourse debut
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.