Newbury
·
Pump Technology Handicap Stakes
Awaiting result
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has not won at this distance before. We do not know if the race length suits the horse.
- Recent results are getting better. The horse is finishing higher up. A horse that is improving often keeps improving.
- Facing tougher rivals than last time. It is like moving up to a harder league. The step up is a challenge.
TrackLab Insight
River King comes here as the market favourite at 1/10 but has never raced on wet ground, which is a significant unknown in conditions like these. His recent form is patchy—a 12th at Ascot just three weeks ago—and while he has won twice from ten starts on good-to-firm ground, the wet surface and his unpredictable form pattern make this a gamble at very short odds.
Never raced on wet ground
Market favourite (1/10)
Unfancied in the market despite a high rating
11
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- T. J. Kent has won 12.4% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- Last raced 30 days ago. That is a normal gap between runs.
TrackLab Insight
Prosperitas is one of only two horses to have won at Newbury, which offers genuine local form credentials. However, he has never raced on wet ground and his recent runs (4th, 4th, 12th) suggest he is struggling, making his single course win look like an outlier rather than a foundation for today.
One of few course winners (1 wins here)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 50% win rate on this ground from 4 runs. Just like people, horses have favourite surfaces. This one likes today's ground.
- Facing weaker rivals than last time out. When a horse drops to an easier race, it often finds things easier.
- 1 win from 5 runs at this track. When a horse likes a course, it often runs well there again.
TrackLab Insight
Mirabeau is the standout wet-ground specialist, with 2 wins from 4 races on soft ground (50% win rate), making him genuinely well-suited by today's conditions. However, his last three runs tell a bleak story—20th, 11th, and 19th—suggesting recent form has deserted him despite that ground advantage, and a 34-day break compounds the question mark.
Best record on this ground (2 from 4)
3 straight top-3 finishes
Unfancied in the market despite a high rating
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 12.2% overall win rate for K. R. Burke. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- Facing weaker rivals than last time out. When a horse drops to an easier race, it often finds things easier.
- Its average finish over the last three races is 17.7. That is too far back. Its results have not been steady lately.
TrackLab Insight
Super Soldier is a 3-year-old with just 1 win from 11 races and has never raced on wet ground, making this an awkward introduction to adverse conditions. His recent form (21st, 11th, 21st) is dire, and while he showed some promise earlier, he looks significantly out of form right now.
Never raced on wet ground
3 straight top-3 finishes
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- R. Varian has won 19.1% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- J. Mitchell has won 14.3% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
- Facing tougher rivals than last time. It is like moving up to a harder league. The step up is a challenge.
TrackLab Insight
Anyasi stands out as the only horse in the field with a genuinely impressive win rate—2 wins from 5 races (40%)—and comes off a narrow 2nd at Haydock just 28 days ago. However, his strength is over shorter distances (5f-6½f, 67% win rate), and stepping up to 7f on wet ground moves him into less familiar territory.
Best career win rate in field (1 in 2)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- R. Beckett wins 16.1% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- Dropped to an easier race today. It is like being the big fish in a smaller pond. The lower standard should suit.
- The trainer's horses do not always finish their races. That raises questions about fitness and preparation.
TrackLab Insight
Egoli won at Doncaster just 16 days ago but has never raced on wet ground, and his recent form before that win was mixed. He carries one of the better recent records (27% win rate overall), but an 83-day absence before his last race and complete lack of experience in these conditions raise questions about readiness.
Never raced on wet ground
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Finished 1st in the last race, which is a good result. A good last run suggests the horse is in good shape.
- With a 9.1% win rate overall, K. Fox is one of the more dependable riders.
- T. Carroll wins only 5.2% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Foreseen won at Leicester just 10 days ago and boasts a 50% win rate at 7f-1m distances, suggesting he handles this trip well. Critically, he has won on soft and heavy ground (33% win rate on each), making him one of only two horses genuinely tested in wet conditions, though his overall win rate of 19% from 27 races shows he is inconsistent.
Never raced on wet ground
£1 wins 10p · 10 Could surprise
Handles this ground well, with 43% of its races won on it
10
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Handles this ground well, with 43% of its races won on it. The ground can change a horse's chances a lot.
- An experienced horse with 51 career runs. Experienced horses tend to be steadier and less likely to run badly.
- A 7.7% record at this course for H. Main. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
Mister Bluebird is the field's most experienced (51 races) and has a solid record on soft ground—3 wins from 7 starts (43%)—making him genuinely suited by today's conditions. His recent form is middling (11th, 3rd, 7th), but at 14% career win rate over 51 races, he offers reliable consistency rather than a winning sequence.
Most experienced (51 runs, field avg 17)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has an official rating of 87. This is a score from the official rater, and a higher number means a better horse. This horse is rated well.
- 2 wins at this race length. Distance matters. If it is too short, the horse cannot use its staying power. If it is too long, the horse gets tired.
- S. Williams has a 4.4% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Utmost Good Faith has excellent form over this exact distance (2 wins from 3 races at 7f) and a solid 29% win rate overall, but has never raced on wet ground.
Never raced on wet ground
Best record at this trip (2 from 3)
3 straight top-3 finishes
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.10 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- 199 days without racing. A long break can be a worry, as it takes time to rebuild fitness.
- 1 run here without a win. That counts against the horse. The track layout may not suit it.
- L. Dace wins only 1.7% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Uniting has been absent for 199 days (longest in the field) and is rated 8lbs below the field average with never having raced on wet ground, making this a difficult return. He carries the lightest weight (123lbs) and has won once on similar ground (standard-to-slow), but the long absence and rain-influenced conditions create substantial barriers to success.
Lowest rated, 8lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
Never raced on wet ground
Absent 199 days (longest in field)
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.