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Cliff Danger

Cliff Danger is a three-year-old with a breakthrough win under his belt but plenty of work still to do. The horse broke through at Southwell back in August, claiming a maiden success that has so far proved to be his one moment of real triumph across six career races. With just that single win and one placing to his name, he's winning roughly one in every six races — respectable enough for a young horse still learning his trade, but hardly the form of an emerging star.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
3 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Bated Breath
Trainer
Tom Ellis
Owner
Family Sly
Official rating
76

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
6
Career races
1
Wins
16.7%
Win rate
avg ~10%
16.7%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
26 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

His recent run of results tells the story of a horse who occasionally threatens but hasn't quite strung together consistent success. In his last six races, he's finished fourth twice, seventh once, ninth once, and managed that lone first place on 16 August, followed by a fourth-place finish just a week ago. That pattern suggests a horse capable of mixing decent runs with disappointments, the sort who keeps the yard hoping for a breakthrough run without delivering it regularly. It's been five weeks since his last win, which is a long drought at this stage of his career.

Tom Ellis's Rugby yard has been in good form this season, sending out 30 winners, so the horse has the backing of a functioning operation. But Cliff Danger remains very much a work in progress — young enough that improvement is still possible, but not yet showing the consistency or touch of class that would mark him out as one to follow closely.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on standard ground: 1 wins from 4 starts (25%)

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Unknown
📏 Race distance
1M3F – 1M4F
Unknown
1M6F – 2M
Unknown
1M1F – 1M2F
Avoids
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
22 Sep
4th
Southwell
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 10 runners
16 Aug
🏆 Won
Southwell
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 12 runners
5 Jul
9th
Southwell
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 14 runners
18 Jun
7th
Southwell
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 14 runners
19 May
4th
Nottingham
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Soft · 11 runners
26 Apr
6th
Wetherby
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 9 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
Kieran O'Neill Current jockey
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Southwell
Galloping
4 1 win, 3 other 22 Sep 25%
Wetherby
Galloping
1 1 other 26 Apr 0%
Nottingham
Galloping
1 1 other 19 May 0%