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Forever Penywern

Forever Penywern has been a steady, reliable sort throughout its racing career, mixing decent wins with plenty of minor placings that suggest genuine consistency. The 4-year-old has won three of its fourteen races — a 21% win rate, roughly one victory every five outings — and finished in the money ten times beyond that, which speaks to a horse that rarely runs badly but struggles to close out races with real authority.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
4 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Bated Breath
Mother
Worthwhile
Owner
Glassex Ltd
Official rating
86

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
14
Career races
3
Wins
21.4%
Win rate
avg ~10%
71.4%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
18 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

The sweet spot for this horse is crystal clear: at distances between a mile and three furlongs and a mile and four furlongs, Forever Penywern comes alive. Over that stretch of ground it has won three of six races, a 50% success rate that stands out sharply against its overall record. This is the kind of specificity that matters deeply to a trainer like Warren Greatrex, who runs a prolific yard at Upper Lambourn and clearly knows how to get the best from his horses. The trainer sent out fifty winners already this season, and Forever Penywern fits the pattern of a horse that responds well to being placed in the right race at the right distance.

Recent form has been mixed. After finishing eighth just a day ago, Forever Penywern's last six races read 8-3-1-2-7-3 — a third place and two seconds mixed with some disappointing runs further back. The horse's last victory came three months ago at Southwell on 5 July 2026, which suggests it may be going through a spell where the wins have dried up, though it continued placing regularly enough. At the Class 4 level, where Forever Penywern has encountered top-level company, it has managed just one win from three attempts, which hints that the horse finds itself slightly out of depth against the strongest opposition it faces.

Forever Penywern remains active and racing, which at least gives Greatrex the chance to keep searching for that next winning opportunity. The formula is there to find: get it back to around a mile and three furlongs, keep it at a level where it can compete, and the odds improve considerably.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good_to_firm ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
✔ Well suited by 1m3f – 1m4f distances: 50% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 4 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Loves
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Good (a little give)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
1M3F – 1M4F
Loves
1M1F – 1M2F
Unknown
1M6F – 2M
Unknown
Long Distance (2M+)
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Loves
Class 5 (entry-level)
Avoids
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, hilly
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
30 Sep
8th
Kempton Park
1m3f – 1m4f · 10 runners
12 Aug
3rd
Kempton Park
1m3f – 1m4f · 12 runners
5 Jul
🏆 Won
Southwell
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 8 runners
5 May
2nd
Ffos Las
1m6f – 2m · Good · 13 runners
22 Apr
7th
Taunton
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 9 runners
4 Apr
3rd
Huntingdon
1m6f – 2m · Good · 8 runners
9 Mar
3rd
Stratford-on-Avon
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft
9 Mar
3rd
Stratford-on-Avon
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 6 runners
16 Nov
5th
Fontwell Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 7 runners
18 Sep
🏆 Won
chelmsford
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 4 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
25%
Win rate
1/4
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/3
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/3
Wins / rides
100%
Win rate
1/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Kempton Park
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 30 Sep 0%
Stratford-on-Avon
Sharp
2 2 thirds 9 Mar 0%
chelmsford 1 1 win 18 Sep 100%
Southwell
Galloping
1 1 win 5 Jul 100%
Goodwood
Undulating
1 1 win 24 Aug 100%
Beverley
Undulating
1 1 third 24 Jun 0%
Taunton
Undulating
1 1 other 22 Apr 0%
Nottingham
Galloping
1 1 other 1 Jun 0%
Great Yarmouth
Galloping
1 1 second 6 Aug 0%
Huntingdon
Galloping
1 1 third 4 Apr 0%
Ffos Las
Galloping
1 1 second 5 May 0%
Fontwell Park
Tight
1 1 other 16 Nov 0%