Newbury
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Apple Print & Creative Rose Bowl Stakes (Listed Race)
Starts in
Awaiting result
Turf track
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
The clear market favourite at 3.0, Nabati won first time out and now steps up sharply in class for this Listed race — the biggest jump in the field from debut to today's prize money. Trainer Charlie Appleby and jockey William Buick have won together roughly 1 in 3 times across over a thousand races, one of the most potent combinations in the sport, which explains the market confidence despite so little form to go on. The unknown is a real one — a single race tells us almost nothing — but that team rarely brings a horse here without reason.
Racecourse debut
Market favourite (3.0)
TrackLab Insight
Second only to A Bear Affair in the official ratings and identified as one of the chief dangers, Social Symbol arrives with a win and a fourth from two races and a shortening price that suggests confidence in the camp. It finished fourth at Ascot last time out — the same track where several rivals struggled — and rates 5 points above the field average, making it the clearest rival to the top selection. If A Bear Affair has an off day, this is the most likely beneficiary.
Lightly raced (2 career races)
TrackLab Insight
The most lightly raced horse with a meaningful record in this field — two races, two wins — Arapaho Gold arrives with a perfect scorecard, though both victories came at Thirsk, a very different test to Newbury. Rated just one point above the field average, the figures suggest rivals like A Bear Affair and Social Symbol are ahead of it on merit, so the unbeaten record faces its stiffest examination yet. The low draw in stall 2 is the one statistical advantage it carries today.
Lightly raced (2 career races)
TrackLab Insight
Shorter in the market than its official rating suggests it should be, Sale Shark has attracted punter interest despite finishing fifth at Ascot last time out. Its only win came at Hamilton, a very different track to Newbury, and jockey Kieran Shoemark has yet to win in 13 races with trainer Hugo Palmer — a combination still waiting to click. The odds move is interesting, but the figures rank it below the top three in this field.
Lightly raced (2 career races)
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
Top-rated in this field by a clear margin and our selection, A Bear Affair arrives in good heart after finishing just half a length behind the winner at Sandown two weeks ago. That recovery from two poor runs at Ascot and Sandown before it suggests a horse finding its feet again at the right time. The odds have drifted slightly, but on the figures this is the one the rest need to beat.
Best career win rate in field (1 in 5)
TrackLab Insight
One of the least experienced horses in the field with just three races under its belt, Agamemnon's last run was a distant eighth at Ascot — not encouraging form coming into a race of this quality. The market has warmed to it considerably though, with odds shortening from 18 to 12, suggesting someone sees potential the bare form doesn't yet show. Rated 8 points below the top-rated A Bear Affair, it needs a big step forward.
Lightly raced (3 career races)
TrackLab Insight
The only horse in this field to have won at Newbury, God Given Talent scored here on its debut before finishing a distant 19th at Ascot — a jarring contrast that makes it hard to know what to expect today. Rated 10 points below the top-rated A Bear Affair, the figures don't flatter it, and the odds drifting to 23 suggests the market agrees. That course win is a genuine hook, but the Ascot run is hard to ignore.
Only course winner (1 from 1 here)
Lightly raced (2 career races)
TrackLab Insight
The only horse in this field yet to finish in the top three in any of its races, Kamaal has a tenth and a fifth to show from two outings and carries no official rating into this Class 1 contest. Facing clearly superior rivals on the figures and with odds drifting further out to 26, this looks a tough ask for a horse still searching for its first win. Honest data points to this being a race about learning rather than winning.
Lightly raced (2 career races)
TrackLab Insight
A horse that lives up to its name — Underdog won at Sandown five weeks ago before finishing 15th at Ascot and then fifth back at Sandown, form that reads as inconsistent at best. Rated below the field average and with odds drifting out to 29, the market sees limited cause for optimism today. The Ascot run in particular, beaten nearly 11 lengths, is a red flag stepping into this level of company.
Lightly raced (3 career races)
TrackLab Insight
Making its very first appearance on a racecourse today, Severn Councils is a complete unknown — there is simply no form to analyse. Its odds have drifted dramatically from 51 to 71, which tells you the market is not expecting a debut win in a Listed race against more experienced rivals. With nothing to go on, honesty requires saying this is a day for the horse to gain experience rather than challenge for honours.
Racecourse debut
Your pick
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What you'd get back
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Odds
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Bet type
Win (they finish 1st)
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Your bet
£5
Your profit if they win
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Total back in your pocket
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How do odds work?
The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.
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