Musselburgh
·
Portobello Cup Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)
Starts in
Awaiting result
Turf track
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
Market favourite at 4.0 but carries a red flag: she hasn't raced in 61 days and was last seen finishing 5th at Hamilton. At 8 years old with 24 races under her belt, she has quality (won a Class 1 race) but has become inconsistent; the long layoff and unfamiliar jockey combination leave you guessing whether she's ready or rusty.
Market favourite (4.0)
Trainer Quotes
Nov 2023
"We were disappointed with with his start at Ayr - he was a bit keen and it was a falsely run race. I didn't think he jumped too badly and he'll have learned a lot from that. He went through the line well and hopefully he'll settle better next time. All's not lost by a long way with him, and we might take him to Musselburgh on Friday. 27-11-23"
Oct 2023
"We're hoping to go to Ayr with him on November 4 and hopefully it'll be just nice ground - good to soft or similar. We're looking forward to him. He won his two bumper starts very well. First time at Musselburgh, there were a couple of talking horses in the race but he soon put them to bed. We gave him aeak and came back for Aintree, where we were fairly confident he'd run a good race. It was a bit of a messy race up the straight and there'll be half a dozen thinking they were unlucky but I'd match him up to any of them again. His schooling has gone well and there's the good race at Aintree on Boxing Day now [formerly Grade 1 Tolworth Novices' Hurdle], which would be an obvious first target if things go to plan. 25-10-23"
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
The editorial call lands here, and the form screams readiness: he's won his last two races (at York and Chester) just 32 and 45 days ago, and has a 33% win rate over 1m6f–2m distances. Rated 3 lb below Fast Fred but looks genuinely progressive; his only risk is a complete blank on good-to-soft ground, but normal conditions suit him perfectly.
One of the more successful in the field (6 career wins)
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
Just broke his maiden at Newcastle 25 days ago after ten races without a win, which is encouraging but doesn't change his modest 9% career win rate. The five-year-old is suited by long distances (25% record at 2m+) and has a track record of placing (2 of last 3), but he cannot win on standard or good-to-soft ground, which limits his chances today.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
TrackLab Insight
The only winner at this distance in the field—he has won over Musselburgh's 2m 2f before. He's a proper course specialist with 4 wins from 12 here and a 33% record at this track, but his last two outings (7th and 10th) are badly off the boil, and he cannot win on good-to-firm or soft ground, leaving him vulnerable to the ground today.
Course specialist (4 wins from 12 here)
Only winner at this distance
Has won over this course and distance
Best record at this trip (2 from 5)
Trainer Quotes
Oct 2024
"He won at Musselburgh over 2m2f in late August and has finished third the last twice- at Chester and Ayr on Tuesday. He's probably going to have another couple of runs this autumn as he seems to handle soft ground. He's a young horse who's improving. He ran on good ground at Ayr on Tuesday and it would be good if we can get another run with him on soft ground before the end of the season. I doubt we'll run him on the all-weather this winter and we'll probably wait until next year with him. 02-10-24"
TrackLab Insight
One of few course winners in the field—1 win at Musselburgh from limited tries—but he's a poor 6% career win rate horse who has struggled badly on right-handed galloping tracks. He did win at Redcar just 17 days ago and has placed four times in his last six, so form is building, but the course bias against him is a serious concern.
One of few course winners (1 wins here)
TrackLab Insight
A four-year-old with only one win from 11 races, but he's improving: placed in 2 of his last 3 outings at York. His sole career victory came over a shorter trip (1m 3f), and he cannot win on good ground or left-handed galloping tracks, which may rule him out on a right-handed turf track in normal conditions. Lacks the class and form to threaten here.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
TrackLab Insight
The standout here: Inappropriate won at Musselburgh just 25 days ago and boasts a stunning 44% win rate on good ground—the exact conditions today. He's had three straight top-3 finishes and loves the 1m6f–2m range, but he's a one-track specialist who cannot win on anything softer than good ground, so normal conditions are manageable but not ideal.
Best record on this ground (4 from 9)
3 straight top-3 finishes
TrackLab Insight
Best career win rate in the field at 18% (2 wins from 11 races), and he's thriving at the longer distances with a 33% win rate over 1m6f–2m. He won at Ayr 67 days ago and placed at Hamilton 24 days ago, showing steady form; he loves soft ground and suits the trip, making him dangerous if ground comes up even slightly wet.
Best career win rate in field (1 in 6)
TrackLab Insight
Top-rated by the weights but has drifted massively in the market, suggesting the smart money sees vulnerability. Fast Fred's last three runs show 2–2–13, with recent form patchy; he prefers shorter distances and tends to excel on soft or standard ground, not the good conditions likely here. His recent form is concerning enough to justify the market drift.
3 straight top-3 finishes
TrackLab Insight
A seven-year-old with only 2 wins from 27 races (7% win rate) who has placed consistently but rarely won. He was 3rd at Musselburgh just 25 days ago and suits the distance, but he cannot win on standard or good-to-soft ground and shows little to excite—useful placemaker rather than winner.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
TrackLab Insight
The lowest-rated runner, yet she's in a different kind of form: won at Doncaster just 10 days ago and has 3 straight top-3 finishes. She suits the 1m6f–2m range (27% win rate) and carries the lowest weight in the field, but she cannot win on standard ground—which today presents, making her current form potentially irrelevant to this particular race.
Lowest rated, 6lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
3 straight top-3 finishes
Your pick
—
—
What you'd get back
—
Odds
—
Bet type
Win (they finish 1st)
How much do you want to bet?
Your bet
£5
Your profit if they win
—
Total back in your pocket
—
How do odds work?
The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.
Paid out by the bookmaker, not TrackLab.
Choose your bookmaker