Dundalk
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Dundalk (AW)
Awaiting result
Polytrack surface
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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Jurality
Very underrated horse
£1 wins £4.50 · 23 Strong chance
P. W Flynn's horses finish their races 16.7% of the time
23
Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 9/2
£1 wins £4.50 · 23 Strong chance
Underrated horse
We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £5.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- P. W Flynn's horses finish their races 16.7% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
- P. W Flynn wins 15.7% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
- The level of this race may not suit this horse. It could be out of its depth, or too good for a weak field.
Without Love
Underrated horse
£1 wins £4 · 21 Strong chance
C. Hughes's horses finish their races 50% of the time
21
Underrated horse
We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £5.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- C. Hughes's horses finish their races 50% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
- Finishing 3rd last time is encouraging. A horse that finishes well is usually in good shape.
- C. Hughes has a 3.2% overall win rate, which is on the low side. That may mean the horse is not at its best.
Syosset
Underrated horse
£1 wins £9 · 13 Solid chance
J. C McConnell's horses finish 5.6% of their races
13
Underrated horse
We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £10.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- J. C McConnell's horses finish 5.6% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
- Finishing 3rd last time is encouraging. A horse that finishes well is usually in good shape.
- A 5.8% record at this course for J. C McConnell. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Deluca Chop
Underrated horse
£1 wins £7 · 13 Solid chance
The prize money suggests a competitive race that has attracted decent horses
13
Underrated horse
We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- The prize money suggests a competitive race that has attracted decent horses, and this one belongs among them.
- Finishing 2nd last time is encouraging. A horse that finishes well is usually in good shape.
- The trainer's horses do not always finish their races. That raises questions about fitness and preparation.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £11.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- E. O'Connell's horses finish 0% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 7 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- E. O'Connell has a 4.8% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £17.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A. McGuinness's horses finish 20% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
- Has raced 31 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
- A. McGuinness has an 11.2% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
£1 wins £22 · 4 Long shot
P. J. F. Murphy's horses finish their races 66.7% of the time
4
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £23.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- P. J. F. Murphy's horses finish their races 66.7% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
- With 50 races behind it, this horse knows what to expect. Experienced runners tend to cope better with pressure.
- The level of this race may not suit this horse. It could be out of its depth, or too good for a weak field.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £41.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Good prize money on offer. When trainers aim at valuable races, they usually have faith in their runner.
- Has yet to win over this distance. It is like asking a sprinter to run a marathon. Distance matters, and this horse has not shown it can win here.
- The trainer's horses do not always finish their races. That raises questions about fitness and preparation.
£1 wins £33 · 3 Long shot
I. Patrick Donoghue's horses finish their races 16.7% of the time
3
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £34.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- I. Patrick Donoghue's horses finish their races 16.7% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
- A 20% win rate on this ground from 5 runs. Just like people, horses have favourite surfaces. This one likes today's ground.
- I. Patrick Donoghue has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £23.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- T. G. McCourt's horses finish their races 0% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
- The prize money suggests a competitive race that has attracted decent horses, and this one belongs among them.
- S. Tormey wins 3.1% of their races overall. That is below the average for professional jockeys.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £21.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- M. M. Rice's runners finish 0% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 9 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- M. M. Rice wins only 6.1% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £126.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- L. Doyle's horses finish their races 66.7% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
- A low win rate on this ground from 5 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
- A 0% record at this course for L. Doyle. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £151.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Good prize money on offer. When trainers aim at valuable races, they usually have faith in their runner.
- A 4yo+ race looks a good fit. Trainers who enter horses in the right races tend to have a plan.
- The trainer's horses do not always finish their races. That raises questions about fitness and preparation.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £34.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- N. Meade's horses finish their races 0% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
- Has raced 3 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
- A 4.5% career win rate for E. Grifferty. That is on the low side and could matter today.
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.