Dundalk
·
Dundalk (AW)
Awaiting result
Polytrack surface
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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Drucker
Very underrated horse
£1 wins £2.25 · 40 Very strong chance
A. Slattery's runners finish 37.5% of their races
40
Our top pick for this race
Very strong chance
Odds 9/4
£1 wins £2.25 · 40 Very strong chance
Underrated horse
We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.25 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A. Slattery's runners finish 37.5% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
- Finishing 1st last time is encouraging. A horse that finishes well is usually in good shape.
- The level of this race may not suit this horse. It could be out of its depth, or too good for a weak field.
£1 wins £4 · 18 Solid chance
The prize money suggests a competitive race that has attracted decent horses
18
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £5.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- The prize money suggests a competitive race that has attracted decent horses, and this one belongs among them.
- Finished 2nd in the last race, which is a good result. A good last run suggests the horse is in good shape.
- This trainer's horses often do not finish their races. That makes them harder to trust.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- R. De Aguiar's runners finish 50% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
- R. De Aguiar wins 20% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
- Mr S. Cavanagh wins 3.4% of their races overall. That is below the average for professional jockeys.
Riyami
Underrated horse
£1 wins £14 · 9 Could surprise
D. Gerard Hogan's horses finish their races 40.9% of the time
9
Underrated horse
We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £15.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- D. Gerard Hogan's horses finish their races 40.9% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
- This horse runs well on today's ground, with a 33% win rate from 9 runs. The ground makes a big difference in racing.
- Only 10th last time out. That is not what we want to see before today's race.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £12.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- With a 17.1% win rate overall, Mr J. L. Gleeson is one of the more dependable riders.
- A. Melia's horses finish their races 0% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
- A. Melia has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Louies Folly
£1 wins £22 · 4 Long shot
D. Gerard Hogan's horses finish their races 40.9% of the time
4
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £23.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- D. Gerard Hogan's horses finish their races 40.9% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- D. Gerard Hogan wins only 8.1% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £16.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- N. C Kelly's runners finish 0% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 4 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- A 4.4% record at this course for N. C Kelly. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £29.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- K. Thomas Coleman's runners finish 100% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
- Has been off the track for 143 days. That is a long break. Some horses come back fresh. Others need a run to get fit again.
- Mr L. P. Shanahan wins 4.2% of their races overall. That is below the average for professional jockeys.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £67.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- D. Gerard Hogan's horses finish 40.9% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 12 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- This may not be the right level for this horse. Running at the wrong level can hurt a horse's chances.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £151.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- E. Griffin's horses finish their races 20% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
- The prize money suggests a competitive race that has attracted decent horses, and this one belongs among them.
- A 0% career win rate for Ms N. M. Bradley. That is on the low side and could matter today.
£1 wins £100 · 1 Long shot
The prize money suggests a competitive race that has attracted decent horses
1
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £101.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- The prize money suggests a competitive race that has attracted decent horses, and this one belongs among them.
- A weight of 147 lbs is manageable. A lighter load helps in the closing stages.
- The trainer's horses do not always finish their races. That raises questions about fitness and preparation.
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.