Dundalk
·
Dundalk (AW)
Awaiting result
Polytrack surface
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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Very underrated horse
£1 wins £3 · 29 Strong chance
D. James Murphy's horses finish 25% of their races
29
Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 3/1
£1 wins £3 · 29 Strong chance
Underrated horse
We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- D. James Murphy's horses finish 25% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
- A low win rate on this ground from 6 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
- This may not be the right level for this horse. Running at the wrong level can hurt a horse's chances.
Masked Angel
Underrated horse
£1 wins £5 · 19 Solid chance
D. Dias's runners finish 50% of their races
19
Underrated horse
We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- D. Dias's runners finish 50% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
- Finishing 1st last time is encouraging. A horse that finishes well is usually in good shape.
- This may not be the right level for this horse. Running at the wrong level can hurt a horse's chances.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- D. McLoughlin's horses finish 100% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
- Came home 3rd last time out. A good recent run often carries over to the next race.
- A 0% career win rate for R. Fagan. That is on the low side and could matter today.
Im Spartacus
£1 wins £7 · 14 Solid chance
A. McGuinness's horses finish their races 20% of the time
14
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A. McGuinness's horses finish their races 20% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 22 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- The level of this race may not suit this horse. It could be out of its depth, or too good for a weak field.
Reposado
Underrated horse
£1 wins £16 · 10 Could surprise
R. De Aguiar's horses finish 50% of their races
10
Underrated horse
We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £17.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- R. De Aguiar's horses finish 50% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 4 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- The level of this race may not suit this horse. It could be out of its depth, or too good for a weak field.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £14.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- P. J. F. Murphy's runners finish 66.7% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
- Carrying 144 lbs today, which is a reasonable weight. Less weight means less effort, especially late in the race when horses tire.
- A 5% record at this course for C. Cusack. Some jockeys just do not do well at some courses.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £11.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- T. G. McCourt's horses finish 0% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
- J. Ryan is riding well, with 1 winners from 3 recent rides. Good recent results are a good sign.
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 37 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £17.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- J. C McConnell's horses finish their races 5.6% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 19 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- J. C McConnell has a 5.8% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £34.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- D. Marnane's horses finish their races 100% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
- A 14.7% win rate at this course for D. Marnane. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
- R. Colgan has a 4.3% overall win rate, which is lower than we would like to see. A jockey who wins less often can hold back even a good horse.
£1 wins £100 · 1 Long shot
K. Thomas Coleman's horses finish their races 100% of the time
1
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £101.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- K. Thomas Coleman's horses finish their races 100% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- R. Cleary wins 4.7% of their races overall. That is below the average for professional jockeys.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £67.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- M. D. O'Callaghan's runners finish 33.3% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
- Has raced 3 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
- This may not be the right level for this horse. Running at the wrong level can hurt a horse's chances.
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.