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Dundalk

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Dundalk (AW)
Awaiting result
Flat race · no jumps Underrated horse: Mooncoin +2 About 1 mile Standard all-weather surface 17 runners
Polytrack surface
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score

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Mooncoin Underrated horse
S. Foley · M. Fahey · 3yo · 9st 3lb
£1 wins £3.50 · 27 Strong chance
M. Fahey's horses finish 25% of their races
Debut
27
Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 7/2
£1 wins £3.50 · 27 Strong chance
Underrated horse

We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.50 back.

How odds work
✓ Trainer form ✓ Trainer wins at this course ✓ Jockey overall starts
First run (debut)
Why this score
  • M. Fahey's horses finish 25% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
  • M. Fahey wins 15.6% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
  • The level of this race may not suit this horse. It could be out of its depth, or too good for a weak field.
Underrated horse

We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.33 back.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • S. Thorne's horses finish 66.7% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
  • Came home 3rd last time out. A good recent run often carries over to the next race.
  • J. Kearney wins only 11.2% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £5.00 back.

How odds work
Back after 157 days off Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • A. Slattery's runners finish 37.5% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
  • Finishing 4th last time is encouraging. A horse that finishes well is usually in good shape.
  • A. Slattery has a 7.5% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Underrated horse

We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £11.00 back.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • P. W Flynn's runners finish 16.7% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
  • Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
  • This may not be the right level for this horse. Running at the wrong level can hurt a horse's chances.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £12.00 back.

How odds work
Back after 194 days off Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • The prize money suggests a competitive race that has attracted decent horses, and this one belongs among them.
  • Finishing 3rd last time is encouraging. A horse that finishes well is usually in good shape.
  • The trainer's horses do not always finish their races. That raises questions about fitness and preparation.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £13.00 back.

How odds work
First run (debut) Trainer in form
Why this score
  • E. Mullins's runners finish 72.7% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
  • The prize money suggests a competitive race that has attracted decent horses, and this one belongs among them.
  • E. Mullins has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £51.00 back.

How odds work
Back after 199 days off Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • K. Thomas Coleman's horses finish their races 100% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • R. Whelan wins 13.5% of their races at this course. Knowing the track is an advantage for any jockey.
  • R. Whelan has a 13.5% win rate at this course. They have not had much luck here. Knowing the track helps, and that is missing.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £201.00 back.

How odds work
First run (debut)
Why this score
  • J. C McConnell's horses finish their races 5.6% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • J. C McConnell has won 7.1% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
  • A 5.8% record at this course for J. C McConnell. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £201.00 back.

How odds work
First run (debut)
Why this score
  • C. Timmons's runners finish 100% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
  • Good prize money on offer. When trainers aim at valuable races, they usually have faith in their runner.
  • N. Crosse wins only 4.9% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £201.00 back.

How odds work
First run (debut) Wearing blinkers
Why this score
  • Ms C. O'Connell's horses finish their races 20% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • D. O'Connor has a good 13.3% record here. Knowing the course is one of a jockey's biggest strengths.
  • Ms C. O'Connell has a 2.5% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £301.00 back.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • H. De Bromhead's runners finish 38.9% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
  • Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
  • R. Colgan wins 4.3% of their races overall. That is below the average for professional jockeys.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £67.00 back.

How odds work
Back after 139 days off Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • D. Aidan O'Brien's horses finish their races 50% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • D. Aidan O'Brien wins 15.7% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
  • Only 10th last time out. That is not what we want to see before today's race.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £41.00 back.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • J. Halley's horses finish 100% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
  • A low win rate on this ground from 3 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
  • A 4.7% career win rate for R. Cleary. That is on the low side and could matter today.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £201.00 back.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • G. Cromwell's horses finish 33.3% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
  • Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
  • G. Cromwell has a 6.6% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shot Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.

What these words mean

Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
More at Dundalk on Friday ?